Serie D - Girone H predictions
Italy · 12th tier · 18 teams · table updated 24 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Serie D - Girone H match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Serie D - Girone H in the Bet Finder.
This week's Serie D - Girone H fixtures
- 25 Oct · 13:30EbolitanavGravinaNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 13:30FrancavillavReal Forio 2014No pick yet
- 25 Oct · 13:30IschiavMartina FrancaNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 14:00NardòvFidelis AndriaHome or DrawModerate
- 25 Oct · 14:00NocerinavGladiatorNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 14:00Real NormannavTurrisNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 15:00Virtus FrancavillavManfredoniaHome or DrawModerate
- 25 Oct · 17:00BisceglievBrindisiNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30BrindisivEbolitanaNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30GladiatorvNardòNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30GravinavNocerinaNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30ManfredoniavMelfiNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30Martina FrancavBisceglieNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30USD PalmesevIschiaNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30Real Forio 2014vReal NormannaNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30TurrisvVirtus FrancavillaNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 14:00Fidelis AndriavFrancavillaNo pick yet
Serie D - Girone H table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Martina Franca | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 18 | |
| 2 |  Turris | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 18 | |
| 3 |  Virtus Francavilla | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 18 | |
| 4 |  Bisceglie | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 15 | |
| 5 |  Brindisi | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 15 | |
| 6 |  Manfredonia | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 14 | |
| 7 |  Gravina | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 13 | |
| 8 |  Nocerina | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 13 | |
| 9 |  Real Normanna | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 11 | |
| 10 |  USD Palmese | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 11 | |
| 11 |  Fidelis Andria | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 | |
| 12 |  Gladiator | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 9 | |
| 13 |  Ebolitana | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 8 | |
| 14 |  Melfi | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 8 | |
| 15 |  Real Forio 2014 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 7 | |
| 16 |  Ischia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 5 | |
| 17 |  Francavilla | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 5 | |
| 18 |  Nardò | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4(-2) |
- Promotion
- Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
- Serie D - Group H (Play Out)
- Relegation
Official Serie D - Girone H table via API-Sports · points deductions applied to Nardò · updated 2026-10-24.
This season in numbers
The model's Serie D - Girone H record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 2 | 58.9% | 50.0% | -8.9 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 5 | 81.8% | 40.0% | -41.8 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 1 | 50.3% | 0.0% | -50.3 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 1 | 74.0% | 0.0% | -74.0 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 1 | 58.7% | 100.0% | +41.3 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Serie D - Girone H matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Serie D - Girone H results
- 24 Oct · 14:00Melfi2-2USD PalmeseNo pick
- 18 Oct · 16:00Martina Franca2-0NocerinaNo pick
- 18 Oct · 15:00Brindisi2-0NardòNo pick
- 18 Oct · 14:30Gravina1-1FrancavillaDraw✓
- 18 Oct · 14:30Fidelis Andria2-1Virtus FrancavillaNo pick
- 18 Oct · 14:00Real Forio 20141-2TurrisNo pick
- 18 Oct · 14:00Manfredonia2-0IschiaNo pick
- 18 Oct · 14:00Gladiator3-3Real NormannaNo pick
- 18 Oct · 13:30USD Palmese2-0EbolitanaNo pick
- 17 Oct · 14:00Melfi1-0BisceglieNo pick
About Serie D - Girone H
Serie D - Girone H is the 12th tier of Italy football with 18 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.75 goals per game over 73 matches: both teams scored in 56%, 55% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 56% with 21% drawn. Martina Franca lead the table on 18 points from 8 games. Nardò (-2) has had points deducted, which the table above reflects.
How the model handles Serie D - Girone H
Every Serie D - Girone H fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 10 Serie D - Girone H tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 71.0% on average and landing 40.0%. Its best-calibrated Serie D - Girone H market so far is home or draw (81.8% claimed against 40.0% hit over 5 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Serie D - Girone H predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Serie D - Girone H table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Serie D - Girone H market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Serie D - Girone H tips since 27 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 81.8% claimed against 40.0% hit over 5 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Serie D - Girone H fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Serie D - Girone H by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.