Serie D - Girone D predictions
Italy · eighth tier · 18 teams · table updated 24 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Serie D - Girone D match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Serie D - Girone D in the Bet Finder.
This week's Serie D - Girone D fixtures
- 25 Oct · 13:30CastellanzesevVaresinaNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 13:30Cittadella Vis ModenavPistoieseNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 13:30LentigionevCremaHome or DrawModerate
- 25 Oct · 13:30PaviavUSD CasateseNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 13:30PontederavOltrepòNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 13:30Pro PatriavCorreggeseNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 13:30Pro SestovSant'AngeloDrawModerate
- 25 Oct · 13:30CorianovArconateseNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 13:30Città di VaresevSolbiateseNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30ArconatesevPontederaNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30CorreggesevCorianoNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30CremavCittadella Vis ModenaNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30PaviavPro PatriaNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30PistoiesevCastellanzeseNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30Sant'AngelovLentigioneNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30SolbiatesevOltrepòNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30USD CasatesevPro SestoNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30VaresinavCittà di VareseNo pick yet
Serie D - Girone D table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pistoiese | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | +18 | 24 | |
| 2 |  Pro Patria | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 19 | |
| 3 |  Castellanzese | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 18 | |
| 4 |  Lentigione | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 17 | |
| 5 |  Pro Sesto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 6 | +12 | 15 | |
| 6 |  USD Casatese | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 13 | |
| 7 |  Città di Varese | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 12 | |
| 8 |  Cittadella Vis Modena | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 | |
| 9 |  Sant'Angelo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 11 | |
| 10 |  Solbiatese | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 10 | |
| 11 |  Correggese | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 10 | |
| 12 |  Pavia | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 | |
| 13 |  Crema | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 | |
| 14 |  Varesina | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 7 | |
| 15 |  Coriano | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 | |
| 16 |  Oltrepò | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 4 | |
| 17 |  Arconatese | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 3 | |
| 18 |  Pontedera | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 22 | -16 | 3 |
- Promotion
- Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
- Serie D - Group D (Play Out)
- Relegation
Official Serie D - Girone D table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-24.
This season in numbers
The model's Serie D - Girone D record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 2 | 62.9% | 100.0% | +37.1 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 2 | 84.9% | 100.0% | +15.1 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 2 | 62.0% | 50.0% | -12.0 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Serie D - Girone D matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Serie D - Girone D results
- 21 Oct · 14:00Solbiatese2-1CorianoNo pick
- 18 Oct · 14:00Varesina0-0Pro SestoNo pick
- 18 Oct · 14:00USD Casatese1-2Pro PatriaNo pick
- 18 Oct · 14:00Sant'Angelo2-0CorianoNo pick
- 18 Oct · 14:00Pistoiese1-0PaviaNo pick
- 18 Oct · 14:00Oltrepò0-0Cittadella Vis ModenaNo pick
- 18 Oct · 14:00Crema4-1PontederaNo pick
- 18 Oct · 14:00Correggese0-2CastellanzeseNo pick
- 18 Oct · 14:00Arconatese1-5Città di VareseNo pick
- 17 Oct · 14:00Solbiatese2-2LentigioneNo pick
About Serie D - Girone D
Serie D - Girone D is the eighth tier of Italy football with 18 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.46 goals per game over 71 matches: both teams scored in 47%, 48% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 37% with 27% drawn. Pistoiese lead the table on 24 points from 8 games.
How the model handles Serie D - Girone D
Every Serie D - Girone D fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 6 Serie D - Girone D tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 69.9% on average and landing 83.3%. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Serie D - Girone D predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Serie D - Girone D table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Serie D - Girone D market is the model most reliable in?
- There are not yet enough settled Serie D - Girone D tips since 27 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
- How far ahead are Serie D - Girone D fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Serie D - Girone D by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.