Serie D - Girone D predictions
Italy · eighth tier · 18 teams · table updated 9 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Serie D - Girone D match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Serie D - Girone D in the Bet Finder.
This week's Serie D - Girone D fixtures
- 13 Sept · 14:00ArconatesevCorreggeseNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 14:00Cittadella Vis ModenavCorianoNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 14:00CremavPistoieseNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 14:00LentigionevCastellanzeseHome or DrawSolid
- 13 Sept · 14:00OltrepòvPaviaNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 14:00PontederavPro PatriaNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 14:00Sant'AngelovVaresinaNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 14:00SolbiatesevUSD CasateseNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 14:00Città di VaresevPro SestoNo pick yet
- 16 Sept · 14:00CastellanzesevOltrepòNo pick yet
- 16 Sept · 14:00Cittadella Vis ModenavCittà di VareseNo pick yet
- 16 Sept · 14:00CorreggesevVaresinaNo pick yet
- 16 Sept · 14:00PaviavSolbiateseNo pick yet
- 16 Sept · 14:00PistoiesevArconateseNo pick yet
- 16 Sept · 14:00Pro PatriavCremaNo pick yet
- 16 Sept · 14:00CorianovLentigioneNo pick yet
- 16 Sept · 14:00USD CasatesevSant'AngeloNo pick yet
- 16 Sept · 17:30Pro SestovPontederaNo pick yet
Serie D - Girone D table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellanzese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 | |
| 2 |  Pistoiese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 3 |  Varesina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 | |
| 4 |  Lentigione | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 | |
| 5 |  Pro Patria | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 6 |  USD Casatese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 7 |  Correggese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 8 |  Città di Varese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 9 |  Sant'Angelo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 10 |  Coriano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 11 |  Pavia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 12 |  Crema | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 13 |  Pro Sesto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | |
| 14 |  Cittadella Vis Modena | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | |
| 15 |  Arconatese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | |
| 16 |  Oltrepò | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | |
| 17 |  Pontedera | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | |
| 18 |  Solbiatese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
- Promotion
- Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
- Serie D - Group D (Play Out)
- Relegation
Official Serie D - Girone D table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-09.
This season in numbers
The model's Serie D - Girone D record
Not enough settled Serie D - Girone D tips since 23 Jul to publish a record yet — it fills in as the season goes. Site-wide numbers are on the track record page.
Recent Serie D - Girone D results
- 6 Sept · 15:00Varesina3-2Cittadella Vis ModenaNo pick
- 6 Sept · 14:00USD Casatese2-1ArconateseNo pick
- 6 Sept · 14:00Coriano1-1Città di VareseNo pick
- 6 Sept · 14:00Pro Sesto2-3LentigioneAway or Draw✓
- 6 Sept · 14:00Pro Patria2-1OltrepòNo pick
- 6 Sept · 14:00Pistoiese2-0SolbiateseNo pick
- 6 Sept · 14:00Pavia0-0CremaNo pick
- 6 Sept · 14:00Correggese1-1Sant'AngeloNo pick
- 6 Sept · 14:00Castellanzese3-1PontederaNo pick
- 17 May · 15:00Lentigione0-2PiacenzaNo pick
About Serie D - Girone D
Serie D - Girone D is the eighth tier of Italy football with 18 teams. The 2025/26 season has produced 2.35 goals per game over 311 matches: both teams scored in 46%, 41% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 40% with 26% drawn. Castellanzese lead the table on 3 points from 1 game.
How the model handles Serie D - Girone D
Every Serie D - Girone D fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Predictions on finished matches have only been frozen at kickoff since 23 Jul, and there are not yet enough settled Serie D - Girone D tips to publish a per-league record — it fills in as the season goes. The site-wide record is on the track record page. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Serie D - Girone D predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Serie D - Girone D table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Serie D - Girone D market is the model most reliable in?
- There are not yet enough settled Serie D - Girone D tips since 23 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
- How far ahead are Serie D - Girone D fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Serie D - Girone D by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.