Serie D - Girone A predictions
Italy · fifth tier · 18 teams · table updated 8 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Serie D - Girone A match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Serie D - Girone A in the Bet Finder.
This week's Serie D - Girone A fixtures
- 12 Sept · 14:00AstivGozzanoNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 14:00BorgosesiavSaluzzoDrawStrong
- 13 Sept · 14:00AlessandriavSestri LevanteNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 14:00BiellesevLigornaNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 14:00DerthonavImperiaNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 14:00SanremesevCelle VarazzeNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 14:00LascarisvBraNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 14:00MillesimovValenzanaNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 15:00FezzanesevChisolaNo pick yet
- 16 Sept · 14:00BravBielleseNo pick yet
- 16 Sept · 14:00ChisolavSanremeseNo pick yet
- 16 Sept · 14:00GozzanovBorgosesiaNo pick yet
- 16 Sept · 14:00ImperiavAstiNo pick yet
- 16 Sept · 14:00LigornavDerthonaNo pick yet
- 16 Sept · 14:00SaluzzovCelle VarazzeNo pick yet
- 16 Sept · 14:00Sestri LevantevFezzaneseNo pick yet
- 16 Sept · 14:00MillesimovAlessandriaNo pick yet
- 16 Sept · 14:00ValenzanavLascarisNo pick yet
Serie D - Girone A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sestri Levante | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 2 |  Alessandria | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 3 |  Imperia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 4 |  Derthona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 5 |  Sanremese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| 6 |  Ligorna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| 7 |  Biellese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 8 |  Bra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 9 |  Fezzanese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 10 |  Saluzzo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 11 |  Gozzano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 12 |  Lascaris | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 13 |  Borgosesia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14 |  Chisola | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 15 |  Valenzana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | |
| 16 |  Celle Varazze | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 17 |  Millesimo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 18 |  Asti | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
- Promotion
- Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
- Serie D - Group A (Play Out)
- Relegation
Official Serie D - Girone A table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-08.
This season in numbers
The model's Serie D - Girone A record
Not enough settled Serie D - Girone A tips since 23 Jul to publish a record yet — it fills in as the season goes. Site-wide numbers are on the track record page.
Recent Serie D - Girone A results
- 6 Sept · 16:00Sestri Levante2-0AstiNo pick
- 6 Sept · 14:00Imperia1-0MillesimoNo pick
- 6 Sept · 14:00Gozzano0-0LascarisNo pick
- 6 Sept · 14:00Valenzana1-2AlessandriaNo pick
- 6 Sept · 14:00Saluzzo1-1BielleseDraw✓
- 6 Sept · 14:00Ligorna2-2SanremeseNo pick
- 6 Sept · 14:00Celle Varazze0-1DerthonaNo pick
- 6 Sept · 14:00Bra1-1FezzaneseNo pick
- 17 May · 15:00Ligorna5-3Città di VareseNo pick
- 10 May · 15:00Derthona1-2GozzanoDraw✗
About Serie D - Girone A
Serie D - Girone A is the fifth tier of Italy football with 18 teams. The 2025/26 season has produced 2.46 goals per game over 311 matches: both teams scored in 48%, 42% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 39% with 26% drawn. Sestri Levante lead the table on 3 points from 1 game.
How the model handles Serie D - Girone A
Every Serie D - Girone A fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Predictions on finished matches have only been frozen at kickoff since 23 Jul, and there are not yet enough settled Serie D - Girone A tips to publish a per-league record — it fills in as the season goes. The site-wide record is on the track record page. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Serie D - Girone A predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Serie D - Girone A table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Serie D - Girone A market is the model most reliable in?
- There are not yet enough settled Serie D - Girone A tips since 23 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
- How far ahead are Serie D - Girone A fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Serie D - Girone A by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.