Serie D - Girone A predictions
Italy · fifth tier · 18 teams · table updated 24 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Serie D - Girone A match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Serie D - Girone A in the Bet Finder.
This week's Serie D - Girone A fixtures
- 25 Oct · 13:30AlessandriavBielleseDrawModerate
- 25 Oct · 13:30AstivBorgosesiaHome or DrawModerate
- 25 Oct · 13:30BravDerthonaNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 13:30GozzanovChisolaAway or DrawModerate
- 25 Oct · 13:30ImperiavCelle VarazzeNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 13:30Sestri LevantevSaluzzoNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 13:30LascarisvFezzaneseNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 14:00ValenzanavLigornaNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30BorgosesiavAlessandriaNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30Celle VarazzevValenzanaNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30ChisolavBraNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30FezzanesevAstiNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30LigornavSestri LevanteNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30SaluzzovGozzanoNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30SanremesevImperiaNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30BiellesevMillesimoNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30DerthonavLascarisNo pick yet
Serie D - Girone A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alessandria | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 21 | |
| 2 |  Biellese | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 17 | |
| 3 |  Millesimo | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 | |
| 4 |  Chisola | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 14 | |
| 5 |  Ligorna | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 13 | |
| 6 |  Sanremese | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 13 | |
| 7 |  Derthona | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 | |
| 8 |  Lascaris | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 11 | |
| 9 |  Asti | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 | |
| 10 |  Imperia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 | |
| 11 |  Saluzzo | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 10 | |
| 12 |  Gozzano | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 | |
| 13 |  Bra | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 9 | |
| 14 |  Borgosesia | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 | |
| 15 |  Sestri Levante | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 | |
| 16 |  Fezzanese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 | |
| 17 |  Valenzana | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 5 | |
| 18 |  Celle Varazze | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14 | -12 | 1 |
- Promotion
- Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
- Serie D - Group A (Play Out)
- Relegation
Official Serie D - Girone A table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-24.
This season in numbers
The model's Serie D - Girone A record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 1 | 57.9% | 0.0% | -57.9 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 2 | 82.3% | 100.0% | +17.7 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 1 | 51.9% | 0.0% | -51.9 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 1 | 78.1% | 0.0% | -78.1 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 0 | — | — | — |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Serie D - Girone A matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Serie D - Girone A results
- 24 Oct · 14:00Millesimo1-1SanremeseNo pick
- 18 Oct · 19:00Biellese4-1ValenzanaNo pick
- 18 Oct · 14:30Ligorna1-2BraNo pick
- 18 Oct · 14:00Lascaris1-2AlessandriaNo pick
- 18 Oct · 14:00Fezzanese0-4MillesimoNo pick
- 18 Oct · 14:00Sanremese1-0Sestri LevanteNo pick
- 18 Oct · 14:00Saluzzo0-3ChisolaAway or Draw✓
- 18 Oct · 14:00Derthona1-1AstiDraw✓
- 18 Oct · 14:00Borgosesia4-2ImperiaDraw✗
- 11 Oct · 14:00Millesimo3-0BorgosesiaNo pick
About Serie D - Girone A
Serie D - Girone A is the fifth tier of Italy football with 18 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.57 goals per game over 72 matches: both teams scored in 54%, 47% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 42% with 26% drawn. Alessandria lead the table on 21 points from 8 games.
How the model handles Serie D - Girone A
Every Serie D - Girone A fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 5 Serie D - Girone A tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 70.5% on average and landing 40.0%. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Serie D - Girone A predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Serie D - Girone A table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Serie D - Girone A market is the model most reliable in?
- There are not yet enough settled Serie D - Girone A tips since 27 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
- How far ahead are Serie D - Girone A fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Serie D - Girone A by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.