Serie A Women predictions
Italy · fourth tier · 12 teams · table updated 25 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Serie A Women match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Serie A Women in the Bet Finder.
This week's Serie A Women fixtures
- 25 Oct · 11:30Lazio WvComo WNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 14:00Como 1907 WvSassuolo WNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 17:00Parma WvFiorentina WOver 2.5Moderate
- 31 Oct · 11:30Ternana WvComo 1907 WNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 15:45Sassuolo WvParma WNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 11:30Inter Milano WvLazio WNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 14:00Roma WvNapoli WNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 17:00Como WvAC Milan WNo pick yet
Serie A Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 12 | |
| 2 |  Inter Milano W | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | +7 | 10 | |
| 3 |  Como 1907 W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 9 | |
| 4 |  AC Milan W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 | |
| 5 |  Ternana W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 | |
| 6 |  Napoli W | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | |
| 7 |  Fiorentina W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | |
| 8 |  Como W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 | |
| 9 |  Juventus W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 3 | |
| 10 |  Lazio W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | |
| 11 |  Parma W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 | |
| 12 |  Sassuolo W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 0 |
- Champions League
- Relegation
Official Serie A Women table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-25.
This season in numbers
The model's Serie A Women record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 4 | 67.9% | 100.0% | +32.1 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 3 | 86.9% | 100.0% | +13.1 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 4 | 59.0% | 50.0% | -9.0 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 4 | 78.6% | 75.0% | -3.6 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 11 | 62.6% | 81.8% | +19.2 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Serie A Women matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Serie A Women results
- 24 Oct · 17:30Juventus W2-5Roma WOver 2.5✓
- 24 Oct · 15:00Napoli W0-0Inter Milano WAway or Draw✓
- 24 Oct · 11:30AC Milan W3-0Ternana WOver 2.5✓
- 18 Oct · 17:00Inter Milano W3-0Parma WOver 2.5✓
- 18 Oct · 14:00Roma W4-2AC Milan WHome or Draw✓
- 18 Oct · 11:30Juventus W2-4Como 1907 WNo pick
- 17 Oct · 17:00Ternana W1-0Lazio WOver 2.5✗
- 17 Oct · 14:00Como W1-1Fiorentina WNo pick
- 17 Oct · 11:30Sassuolo W1-4Napoli WNo pick
- 4 Oct · 17:00Como W0-2Inter Milano WAway or Draw✓
About Serie A Women
Serie A Women is the fourth tier of Italy football with 12 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.24 goals per game over 21 matches: both teams scored in 62%, 67% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 48% with 14% drawn. Roma W lead the table on 12 points from 4 games.
How the model handles Serie A Women
Every Serie A Women fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 26 Serie A Women tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 68.1% on average and landing 80.8%. Its best-calibrated Serie A Women market so far is over 2.5 (62.6% claimed against 81.8% hit over 11 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Serie A Women predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Serie A Women table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Serie A Women market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Serie A Women tips since 27 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 62.6% claimed against 81.8% hit over 11 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Serie A Women fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Serie A Women by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.