Disclaimer

Long Shot Merchants provides football match predictions and statistics generated by machine-learning models trained on historical match data, team form, Elo ratings, and other statistical features. We are an information and analytics service only.

We are not a bookmaker, betting operator, betting intermediary, or party to any wager. We do not accept, process, or place bets, we do not hold stakes, and we do not pay out winnings. You cannot gamble on this website.

Every prediction on this site is a statistical estimate of probability — never a statement of certainty. No prediction guarantees any particular result. Football is inherently unpredictable and any outcome can occur regardless of the probabilities we publish.

Our published track record and calibration figures describe how our model has performed in aggregate over large samples in the past. They are a long-run statistical property, not a promise about any individual match, and past performance does not indicate or guarantee future results.

The predictions, probabilities, and statistics on this site are provided for information and entertainment only. They are not betting advice, tips, recommendations, or financial advice, and nothing on this site should be taken as an inducement to gamble.

You are solely responsible for any decision you make, including any decision to place a bet with a third party, and for any losses that may result. If you are unsure, seek independent professional advice.

If you choose to bet with a licensed operator, you do so entirely at your own risk. Betting can result in the loss of money and can be addictive. Never bet more than you can comfortably afford to lose, and never chase losses.

This service is intended for adults aged 18 or over. If gambling is affecting you or someone you know, free, confidential help is available:

• BeGambleAware — National Gambling Helpline 0808 8020 133 (UK, 24/7)
• GamCare
• GAMSTOP — free self-exclusion

Questions about this disclaimer? Email [email protected].