Serie C - Girone C predictions

Italy · 17th tier · 20 teams · table updated 24 Oct

Calibrated probabilities for every Serie C - Girone C match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Serie C - Girone C in the Bet Finder.

This week's Serie C - Girone C fixtures

Serie C - Girone C table

#TeamPGDPts
1Potenza11+1326
2Bari11+721
3Sorrento11+420
4Audace Cerignola10+917
5Scafatese10+317
6Casertana11+217
7Catania10+616
8Cavese10+315
9SS Monopoli10+215
10Salernitana10+214
11Inter U2310+114
12AZ Picerno10-112
13Team Altamura11-712
14Barletta11-311
15Foggia10-311
16Savoia11-511
17Casarano10-611
18Giugliano10-810
19Cosenza11-146
20Crotone10-51(-6)
  • Promotion - Serie B
  • Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (Quarter-finals)
  • Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/8-finals)
  • Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/16-finals)
  • Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32-finals)
  • Serie C - Play Out
  • Relegation

Official Serie C - Girone C table via API-Sports · points deductions applied to Crotone · updated 2026-10-24.

This season in numbers

2.85
goals per game (107 matches)
54%
both teams scored
52%
over 2.5 goals
75%
over 1.5 goals
35%
over 3.5 goals
48%
home wins
27%
draws
25%
away wins

The model's Serie C - Girone C record

MarketTipsClaimedHitGap
Home win≥ 57%0———
Home or draw≥ 80%882.0%75.0%-7.0
Away win≥ 50%0———
Away or draw≥ 73%0———
Over 2.5≥ 57%158.7%0.0%-58.7
BTTS≥ 63%0———

Settled Serie C - Girone C matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.

Recent Serie C - Girone C results

About Serie C - Girone C

Serie C - Girone C is the 17th tier of Italy football with 20 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.85 goals per game over 107 matches: both teams scored in 54%, 52% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 48% with 27% drawn. Potenza lead the table on 26 points from 11 games. Crotone (-6) has had points deducted, which the table above reflects.

How the model handles Serie C - Girone C

Every Serie C - Girone C fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 9 Serie C - Girone C tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 79.4% on average and landing 66.7%. Its best-calibrated Serie C - Girone C market so far is home or draw (82.0% claimed against 75.0% hit over 8 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.

Frequently asked questions

How are these Serie C - Girone C predictions made?
Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
Where does the Serie C - Girone C table come from?
It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
Which Serie C - Girone C market is the model most reliable in?
On settled Serie C - Girone C tips since 27 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 82.0% claimed against 75.0% hit over 8 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
How far ahead are Serie C - Girone C fixtures predicted?
Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Serie C - Girone C by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.

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