Serie D - Girone F predictions
Italy · tenth tier · 18 teams · table updated 24 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Serie D - Girone F match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Serie D - Girone F in the Bet Finder.
This week's Serie D - Girone F fixtures
- 25 Oct · 14:00MaceratesevMontecchio GalloNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 14:00Sporting TrestinavSantegidieseNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30AnconavAtletico AscoliNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30Foligno CalciovVigor SenigalliaNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30MaceratesevAngelanaNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30Montecchio GallovReal GiulianovaNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30NotarescovL'AquilaNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30PietralungavFossombroneNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30RecanatesevSporting TrestinaNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30SantegidiesevTermoli CalcioNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:30TeramovLanciano FCNo pick yet
Serie D - Girone F table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  L'Aquila | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 5 | +12 | 20 | |
| 2 |  Teramo | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | +9 | 19 | |
| 3 |  Vigor Senigallia | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 12 | +5 | 16 | |
| 4 |  Foligno Calcio | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 16 | |
| 5 |  Notaresco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 14 | |
| 6 |  Ancona | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 14 | |
| 7 |  Atletico Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 13 | |
| 8 |  Fossombrone | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 13 | |
| 9 |  Montecchio Gallo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 | |
| 10 |  Real Giulianova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | |
| 11 |  Lanciano FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 10 | |
| 12 |  Termoli Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 | |
| 13 |  Santegidiese | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 | |
| 14 |  Pietralunga | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 8 | |
| 15 |  Maceratese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 | |
| 16 |  Recanatese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 6 | |
| 17 |  Angelana | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 | |
| 18 |  Sporting Trestina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
- Promotion
- Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)
- Relegation
Official Serie D - Girone F table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-24.
This season in numbers
The model's Serie D - Girone F record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 1 | 60.9% | 0.0% | -60.9 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 4 | 81.8% | 50.0% | -31.8 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 0 | — | — | — |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Serie D - Girone F matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Serie D - Girone F results
- 25 Oct · 14:00Vigor Senigallia0-5AnconaNo pick
- 25 Oct · 13:30Termoli Calcio0-0Atletico AscoliNo pick
- 25 Oct · 13:30L'Aquila3-2Foligno CalcioNo pick
- 25 Oct · 13:30Lanciano FC0-0NotarescoNo pick
- 25 Oct · 13:30Real Giulianova1-0PietralungaNo pick
- 25 Oct · 13:30Fossombrone2-4TeramoNo pick
- 25 Oct · 13:30Angelana0-1RecanateseNo pick
- 18 Oct · 14:00Teramo1-0Termoli CalcioNo pick
- 18 Oct · 14:00Santegidiese0-2Vigor SenigalliaNo pick
- 18 Oct · 14:00Recanatese2-3L'AquilaNo pick
About Serie D - Girone F
Serie D - Girone F is the tenth tier of Italy football with 18 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.65 goals per game over 79 matches: both teams scored in 47%, 46% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 39% with 19% drawn. L'Aquila lead the table on 20 points from 8 games.
How the model handles Serie D - Girone F
Every Serie D - Girone F fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 5 Serie D - Girone F tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 77.6% on average and landing 40.0%. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Serie D - Girone F predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Serie D - Girone F table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Serie D - Girone F market is the model most reliable in?
- There are not yet enough settled Serie D - Girone F tips since 27 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
- How far ahead are Serie D - Girone F fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Serie D - Girone F by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.