How are these Serie C - Girone A predictions made?

Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.

Where does the Serie C - Girone A table come from?

It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.

Which Serie C - Girone A market is the model most reliable in?

There are not yet enough settled Serie C - Girone A tips since 27 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.

How far ahead are Serie C - Girone A fixtures predicted?

Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public.

Serie C - Girone A predictions

Italy · third tier · 20 teams · table updated 24 Oct

Calibrated probabilities for every Serie C - Girone A match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Serie C - Girone A in the Bet Finder.

This week's Serie C - Girone A fixtures

Serie C - Girone A table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Cittadella	11	9	0	2	18	6	+12	27
2	Union Brescia	11	6	4	1	19	9	+10	22
3	Trento	10	5	5	0	15	5	+10	20
4	Treviso	11	5	4	2	12	8	+4	19
5	Ospitaletto	10	5	3	2	17	9	+8	18
6	Arzignano Valchiampo	10	5	2	3	14	11	+3	17
7	Alcione	11	3	6	2	18	17	+1	15
8	Pergolettese	10	3	5	2	8	8	0	14
9	Lecco	10	3	4	3	12	9	+3	13
10	Albinoleffe	10	3	4	3	16	15	+1	13
11	Desenzano Calvina	10	3	4	3	9	11	-2	13
12	Lumezzane	10	3	3	4	11	14	-3	12
13	Athletic Carpi	11	3	3	5	16	21	-5	12
14	Novara	10	2	4	4	10	14	-4	10
15	Juventus U23	10	2	4	4	10	16	-6	10
16	Dolomiti Bellunesi	11	2	4	5	8	14	-6	10
17	PRO Vercelli	10	2	3	5	8	18	-10	9
18	Giana Erminio	10	1	5	4	10	13	-3	8
19	Folgore Caratese	10	1	3	6	9	15	-6	6
20	Renate	10	0	4	6	9	16	-7	4

Promotion - Serie B
Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (Quarter-finals)
Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/8-finals)
Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/16-finals)
Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32-finals)
Serie C - Play Out
Relegation

Official Serie C - Girone A table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-24.

This season in numbers

2.42

goals per game (103 matches)

53%

both teams scored

52%

over 2.5 goals

69%

over 1.5 goals

25%

over 3.5 goals

34%

home wins

36%

draws

30%

away wins

The model's Serie C - Girone A record

Market	Tips	Claimed	Hit	Gap
Home win≥ 57%	2	58.9%	0.0%	-58.9
Home or draw≥ 80%	4	81.0%	50.0%	-31.0
Away win≥ 50%	0	—	—	—
Away or draw≥ 73%	0	—	—	—
Over 2.5≥ 57%	2	61.4%	50.0%	-11.4
BTTS≥ 63%	0	—	—	—

Settled Serie C - Girone A matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.

Recent Serie C - Girone A results

About Serie C - Girone A

Serie C - Girone A is the third tier of Italy football with 20 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.42 goals per game over 103 matches: both teams scored in 53%, 52% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 34% with 36% drawn. Cittadella lead the table on 27 points from 11 games.

How the model handles Serie C - Girone A

Every Serie C - Girone A fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 8 Serie C - Girone A tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 70.6% on average and landing 37.5%. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.

Frequently asked questions

How are these Serie C - Girone A predictions made?: Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
Where does the Serie C - Girone A table come from?: It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
Which Serie C - Girone A market is the model most reliable in?: There are not yet enough settled Serie C - Girone A tips since 27 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
How far ahead are Serie C - Girone A fixtures predicted?: Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Serie C - Girone A by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.