How are these Non League Premier - Southern South predictions made?

Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.

Where does the Non League Premier - Southern South table come from?

It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.

Which Non League Premier - Southern South market is the model most reliable in?

On settled Non League Premier - Southern South tips since 27 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 61.0% claimed against 60.5% hit over 38 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.

How far ahead are Non League Premier - Southern South fixtures predicted?

Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public.

Non League Premier - Southern South predictions

England · 12th tier · 22 teams · table updated 25 Oct

Calibrated probabilities for every Non League Premier - Southern South match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Non League Premier - Southern South in the Bet Finder.

This week's Non League Premier - Southern South fixtures

Non League Premier - Southern South table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Poole Town	12	9	0	3	22	13	+9	27
2	Uxbridge	11	8	2	1	23	8	+15	26
3	Bath City	13	8	2	3	19	10	+9	26
4	Hanworth Villa	13	7	3	3	25	15	+10	24
5	Plymouth Parkway	12	7	2	3	26	14	+12	23
6	Chichester City	13	7	1	5	23	21	+2	22
7	Taunton Town	12	6	1	5	32	25	+7	19
8	Chertsey Town	12	5	4	3	25	18	+7	19
9	Frome Town	13	5	4	4	20	16	+4	19
10	Wimborne Town	11	5	3	3	20	9	+11	18
11	Gosport Borough	13	5	3	5	19	17	+2	18
12	Berkhamsted	12	5	1	6	15	17	-2	16
13	Basingstoke Town	13	4	3	6	21	25	-4	15
14	Bracknell Town	13	4	2	7	13	27	-14	14
15	Yate Town	12	3	4	5	16	25	-9	13
16	Evesham United	13	4	1	8	15	26	-11	13
17	Sholing	11	3	3	5	13	17	-4	12
18	Hanwell Town	11	2	5	4	10	14	-4	11
19	Malvern Town	13	3	2	8	19	34	-15	11
20	Gloucester City	10	2	4	4	15	18	-3	10
21	Havant & Wville	13	2	3	8	18	26	-8	9
22	Chippenham Town	12	2	3	7	11	25	-14	9

Official Non League Premier - Southern South table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-25.

This season in numbers

3.13

goals per game (134 matches)

60%

both teams scored

58%

over 2.5 goals

84%

over 1.5 goals

38%

over 3.5 goals

49%

home wins

21%

draws

30%

away wins

The model's Non League Premier - Southern South record

Market	Tips	Claimed	Hit	Gap
Home win≥ 57%	10	60.8%	50.0%	-10.8
Home or draw≥ 80%	7	81.8%	71.4%	-10.4
Away win≥ 50%	0	—	—	—
Away or draw≥ 73%	0	—	—	—
Over 2.5≥ 57%	38	61.0%	60.5%	-0.5
BTTS≥ 63%	6	64.1%	33.3%	-30.8

Settled Non League Premier - Southern South matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.

Recent Non League Premier - Southern South results

About Non League Premier - Southern South

Non League Premier - Southern South is the 12th tier of England football with 22 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.13 goals per game over 134 matches: both teams scored in 60%, 58% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 49% with 21% drawn. Poole Town lead the table on 27 points from 12 games.

How the model handles Non League Premier - Southern South

Every Non League Premier - Southern South fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 61 Non League Premier - Southern South tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 63.7% on average and landing 57.4%. Its best-calibrated Non League Premier - Southern South market so far is over 2.5 (61.0% claimed against 60.5% hit over 38 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.

Frequently asked questions

How are these Non League Premier - Southern South predictions made?: Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
Where does the Non League Premier - Southern South table come from?: It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
Which Non League Premier - Southern South market is the model most reliable in?: On settled Non League Premier - Southern South tips since 27 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 61.0% claimed against 60.5% hit over 38 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
How far ahead are Non League Premier - Southern South fixtures predicted?: Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Non League Premier - Southern South by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.