League Two predictions
England · fourth tier · 24 teams · table updated 24 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every League Two match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter League Two in the Bet Finder.
This week's League Two fixtures
- 26 Oct · 20:00WalsallvSalford CityNo pick yet
- 30 Oct · 19:45Newport CountyvChesterfieldNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 12:30GrimsbyvYorkNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 12:30Port ValevRochdaleNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 15:00Accrington STvNorthamptonNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 15:00ColchestervWalsallNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 15:00CrewevBarnetNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 15:00Fleetwood TownvBristol RoversNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 15:00OldhamvCrawley TownNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 15:00Salford CityvExeter CityNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 15:00ShrewsburyvGillinghamNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 15:00Swindon TownvRotherhamNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 15:00TranmerevCheltenhamNo pick yet
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | +7 | 25 | |
| 2 |  Barnet | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 16 | +8 | 22 | |
| 3 |  Cheltenham | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 21 | |
| 4 |  Crewe | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 | |
| 5 |  York | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 20 | |
| 6 |  Walsall | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 19 | |
| 7 |  Chesterfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 17 | +6 | 19 | |
| 8 |  Exeter City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 19 | |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 16 | +6 | 18 | |
| 10 |  Shrewsbury | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 18 | |
| 11 |  Grimsby | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 17 | |
| 12 |  Gillingham | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 | |
| 13 |  Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 16 | |
| 14 |  Swindon Town | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 16 | |
| 15 |  Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 16 | |
| 16 |  Newport County | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 15 | |
| 17 |  Rochdale | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 15 | |
| 18 |  Fleetwood Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 | |
| 19 |  Northampton | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 | |
| 20 |  Oldham | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 12 | |
| 21 |  Colchester | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 12 | |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 12 | |
| 23 |  Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 12 | |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 6 |
- Promotion - League One
- Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
- Relegation - National League
Official League Two table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-24.
This season in numbers
The model's League Two record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 10 | 63.0% | 40.0% | -23.0 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 15 | 82.5% | 73.3% | -9.2 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 2 | 51.3% | 50.0% | -1.3 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 2 | 75.6% | 50.0% | -25.6 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 8 | 58.5% | 50.0% | -8.5 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled League Two matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent League Two results
- 24 Oct · 15:00York2-0Port ValeNo pick
- 24 Oct · 15:00Rotherham3-3ShrewsburyNo pick
- 24 Oct · 15:00Rochdale0-5Accrington STNo pick
- 24 Oct · 15:00Gillingham1-4GrimsbyNo pick
- 24 Oct · 15:00Exeter City2-1Fleetwood TownNo pick
- 24 Oct · 15:00Crawley Town1-1TranmereNo pick
- 24 Oct · 15:00Chesterfield5-1CreweHome or Draw✓
- 24 Oct · 15:00Barnet1-1OldhamNo pick
- 24 Oct · 12:30Northampton2-0ColchesterNo pick
- 24 Oct · 12:30Cheltenham1-0Newport CountyNo pick
About League Two
League Two is the fourth tier of England football with 24 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.58 goals per game over 149 matches: both teams scored in 55%, 44% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 47% with 35% drawn. Salford City lead the table on 25 points from 12 games.
How the model handles League Two
Every League Two fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 37 League Two tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 70.0% on average and landing 56.7%. Its best-calibrated League Two market so far is over 2.5 (58.5% claimed against 50.0% hit over 8 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these League Two predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the League Two table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which League Two market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled League Two tips since 27 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 58.5% claimed against 50.0% hit over 8 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are League Two fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter League Two by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.