FA WSL predictions
England · sixth tier · 14 teams · table updated 24 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every FA WSL match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter FA WSL in the Bet Finder.
This week's FA WSL fixtures
- 25 Oct · 12:00Crystal Palace WvChelsea WAway or DrawStrong
- 25 Oct · 14:00Birmingham City WvCharlton Athletic WNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 14:00Everton WvAston Villa WNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 14:00Liverpool WvLondon City Lionesses WNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 18:00Manchester United WvManchester City WOver 2.5Moderate
- 31 Oct · 12:45Everton WvManchester United WNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 12:00Arsenal WvAston Villa WNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 12:00London City Lionesses WvManchester City WNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 14:00Birmingham City WvTottenham Hotspur WNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 14:00Brighton WvCrystal Palace WNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 14:00West Ham WvLiverpool WNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 14:30Charlton Athletic WvChelsea WNo pick yet
FA WSL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City W | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 18 | |
| 2 |  Chelsea W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 3 | +15 | 16 | |
| 3 |  London City Lionesses W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | +11 | 15 | |
| 4 |  Tottenham Hotspur W | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 10 | |
| 5 |  Manchester United W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 | |
| 6 |  Arsenal W | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 9 | |
| 7 |  Everton W | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 9 | |
| 8 |  Brighton W | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 8 | |
| 9 |  Liverpool W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 7 | |
| 10 |  Aston Villa W | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 6 | |
| 11 |  Crystal Palace W | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 6 | |
| 12 |  West Ham W | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 | |
| 13 |  Birmingham City W | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 3 | |
| 14 |  Charlton Athletic W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 18 | -15 | 0 |
- WSL (Relegation)
- Relegation - WSL 2
Official FA WSL table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-24.
This season in numbers
The model's FA WSL record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 11 | 75.6% | 63.6% | -12.0 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 11 | 87.4% | 100.0% | +12.6 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 7 | 64.0% | 85.7% | +21.7 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 7 | 80.8% | 85.7% | +4.9 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 16 | 68.4% | 56.3% | -12.1 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 1 | 64.6% | 0.0% | -64.6 |
Settled FA WSL matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent FA WSL results
- 24 Oct · 17:15Brighton W3-0West Ham WNo pick
- 24 Oct · 12:45Tottenham Hotspur W1-2Arsenal WAway or Draw✓
- 18 Oct · 14:30Manchester City W3-2Brighton WHome or Draw✓
- 18 Oct · 14:00London City Lionesses W2-1Everton WNo pick
- 18 Oct · 14:00Charlton Athletic W1-3Manchester United WAway or Draw✓
- 18 Oct · 14:00Aston Villa W2-1Liverpool WNo pick
- 18 Oct · 12:00Crystal Palace W0-1West Ham WNo pick
- 18 Oct · 12:00Chelsea W6-2Tottenham Hotspur WHome or Draw✓
- 17 Oct · 12:45Arsenal W1-1Birmingham City WHome Win✗
- 4 Oct · 16:30Manchester City W4-2Arsenal WNo pick
About FA WSL
FA WSL is the sixth tier of England football with 14 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.25 goals per game over 44 matches: both teams scored in 59%, 59% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 50% with 21% drawn. Manchester City W lead the table on 18 points from 6 games.
How the model handles FA WSL
Every FA WSL fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 53 FA WSL tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 74.8% on average and landing 73.6%. Its best-calibrated FA WSL market so far is away or draw (80.8% claimed against 85.7% hit over 7 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these FA WSL predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the FA WSL table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which FA WSL market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled FA WSL tips since 27 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is away or draw: 80.8% claimed against 85.7% hit over 7 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are FA WSL fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter FA WSL by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.