FA WSL predictions
England · sixth tier · 14 teams · table updated 9 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every FA WSL match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter FA WSL in the Bet Finder.
This week's FA WSL fixtures
- 12 Sept · 12:45West Ham WvLondon City Lionesses WNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 12:00Manchester United WvChelsea WBTTSModerate
- 13 Sept · 14:00Birmingham City WvBrighton WNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 14:00Everton WvCharlton Athletic WNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 14:00Liverpool WvTottenham Hotspur WNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 14:45Arsenal WvCrystal Palace WHome or DrawSolid
- 13 Sept · 18:30Aston Villa WvManchester City WAway or DrawStrong
FA WSL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Liverpool W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 3 | |
| 2 |  Manchester City W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 | |
| 3 |  Tottenham Hotspur W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 | |
| 4 |  London City Lionesses W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 5 |  Arsenal W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 6 |  Crystal Palace W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 7 |  Chelsea W | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 8 |  Aston Villa W | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 9 |  Manchester United W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | |
| 10 |  Everton W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 11 |  Brighton W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 12 |  Birmingham City W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | |
| 13 |  West Ham W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | |
| 14 |  Charlton Athletic W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
- WSL (Relegation)
- Relegation - WSL 2
Official FA WSL table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-09.
This season in numbers
The model's FA WSL record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 2 | 80.4% | 50.0% | -30.4 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 2 | 88.9% | 100.0% | +11.1 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 2 | 59.0% | 50.0% | -9.0 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 2 | 78.5% | 50.0% | -28.5 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 2 | 74.9% | 50.0% | -24.9 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled FA WSL matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent FA WSL results
- 6 Sept · 14:30Manchester City W3-1Birmingham City WOver 2.5✓
- 6 Sept · 14:00Crystal Palace W1-0Everton WNo pick
- 6 Sept · 14:00Charlton Athletic W0-4Liverpool WNo pick
- 6 Sept · 12:00Tottenham Hotspur W3-1West Ham WNo pick
- 6 Sept · 12:00Brighton W0-1Arsenal WAway or Draw✓
- 5 Sept · 12:35Chelsea W1-1Aston Villa WHome Win✗
- 4 Sept · 19:00London City Lionesses W2-1Manchester United WAway Win✗
- 23 May · 12:30Charlton Athletic W0-0Leicester City FC WOver 2.5✗
- 16 May · 13:00West Ham W1-4Manchester City WAway or Draw✓
- 16 May · 13:00London City Lionesses W2-1Aston Villa WOver 2.5✓
About FA WSL
FA WSL is the sixth tier of England football with 14 teams. The 2025/26 season has produced 2.95 goals per game over 133 matches: both teams scored in 54%, 55% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 45% with 19% drawn. Liverpool W lead the table on 3 points from 1 game.
How the model handles FA WSL
Every FA WSL fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 10 FA WSL tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 76.3% on average and landing 60.0%. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these FA WSL predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the FA WSL table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which FA WSL market is the model most reliable in?
- There are not yet enough settled FA WSL tips since 23 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
- How far ahead are FA WSL fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter FA WSL by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.