Regionalliga - Sudwest predictions
Germany · eighth tier · 18 teams · table updated 8 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Regionalliga - Sudwest match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Regionalliga - Sudwest in the Bet Finder.
This week's Regionalliga - Sudwest fixtures
- 11 Sept · 18:00Freiburg IIvSV SandhausenNo pick yet
- 11 Sept · 18:00Hessen KasselvKickers OffenbachNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 13:00Eintracht Frankfurt IIvFC 08 HomburgOver 2.5Moderate
- 12 Sept · 13:00SGV FreibergvFSV Mainz 05 IINo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 13:00Kaiserslautern IIvEintracht TrierNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 13:00TSV SteinbachvFC Astoria WalldorfOver 2.5Moderate
- 12 Sept · 13:00Stuttgarter KickersvBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.Over 2.5Moderate
- 12 Sept · 13:00SSV Ulm 1846vFSV FrankfurtNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 13:00VfR MannheimvVfR AalenNo pick yet
Regionalliga - Sudwest table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kickers Offenbach | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 16 | |
| 2 |  SGV Freiberg | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 5 | +9 | 12 | |
| 3 |  VfR Aalen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 11 | |
| 4 |  Freiburg II | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 10 | |
| 5 |  Stuttgarter Kickers | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 10 | |
| 6 |  Eintracht Trier | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 10 | |
| 7 |  FSV Frankfurt | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 9 | |
| 8 |  FC 08 Homburg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 | |
| 9 |  TSV Steinbach | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 | |
| 10 |  Hessen Kassel | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 6 | |
| 11 |  FSV Mainz 05 II | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 | |
| 12 |  FC Astoria Walldorf | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 | |
| 13 |  Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 5 | |
| 14 |  SV Sandhausen | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 5 | |
| 15 |  Kaiserslautern II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 | |
| 16 |  VfR Mannheim | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | |
| 17 |  Eintracht Frankfurt II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 4 | |
| 18 |  SSV Ulm 1846 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 3 |
- Promotion - 3. Liga
- Relegation
Official Regionalliga - Sudwest table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-08.
This season in numbers
The model's Regionalliga - Sudwest record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 4 | 59.2% | 50.0% | -9.2 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 4 | 80.8% | 75.0% | -5.8 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 16 | 61.3% | 75.0% | +13.7 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Regionalliga - Sudwest matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Regionalliga - Sudwest results
- 9 Sept · 18:00FSV Mainz 05 II1-2VfR MannheimOver 2.5✓
- 9 Sept · 18:00Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.1-2Eintracht Frankfurt IINo pick
- 9 Sept · 18:00FC 08 Homburg2-1Kaiserslautern IINo pick
- 8 Sept · 18:00FC Astoria Walldorf2-1Stuttgarter KickersNo pick
- 8 Sept · 18:00SV Sandhausen0-0SGV FreibergNo pick
- 8 Sept · 18:00Kickers Offenbach3-2TSV SteinbachOver 2.5✓
- 8 Sept · 18:00FSV Frankfurt2-0Hessen KasselNo pick
- 8 Sept · 18:00Eintracht Trier0-0Freiburg IINo pick
- 8 Sept · 18:00VfR Aalen2-0SSV Ulm 1846Over 2.5✗
- 6 Sept · 13:00VfR Mannheim1-1FC 08 HomburgNo pick
About Regionalliga - Sudwest
Regionalliga - Sudwest is the eighth tier of Germany football with 18 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.09 goals per game over 54 matches: both teams scored in 61%, 63% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 41% with 33% drawn. Kickers Offenbach lead the table on 16 points from 6 games.
How the model handles Regionalliga - Sudwest
Every Regionalliga - Sudwest fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 24 Regionalliga - Sudwest tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 64.2% on average and landing 70.8%. Its best-calibrated Regionalliga - Sudwest market so far is over 2.5 (61.3% claimed against 75.0% hit over 16 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Regionalliga - Sudwest predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Regionalliga - Sudwest table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Regionalliga - Sudwest market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Regionalliga - Sudwest tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 61.3% claimed against 75.0% hit over 16 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Regionalliga - Sudwest fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Regionalliga - Sudwest by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.