Frauen Bundesliga predictions
Germany · fourth tier · 14 teams · table updated 9 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Frauen Bundesliga match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Frauen Bundesliga in the Bet Finder.
This week's Frauen Bundesliga fixtures
- 11 Sept · 17:30Werder Bremen WvHamburger SV WNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 11:00RB Leipzig WvNürnberg WOver 2.5Moderate
- 12 Sept · 13:00FC Koln WvUnion Berlin WNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 13:00Stuttgart WvVfL Wolfsburg WAway or DrawStrong
- 13 Sept · 15:00Eintracht Frankfurt Wv1899 Hoffenheim WOver 2.5Moderate
- 13 Sept · 17:30SC Freiburg WvMainz 05 WOver 2.5Moderate
- 14 Sept · 17:00Bayer Leverkusen WvBayern Munich WNo pick yet
Frauen Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  VfL Wolfsburg W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 9 | |
| 2 |  Bayern Munich W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 9 | |
| 3 |  Eintracht Frankfurt W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 7 | |
| 4 |  Stuttgart W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 7 | |
| 5 |  FC Koln W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 6 | |
| 6 |  Werder Bremen W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 | |
| 7 |  Bayer Leverkusen W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 6 | |
| 8 |  SC Freiburg W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | |
| 9 |  Hamburger SV W | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | |
| 10 |  Nürnberg W | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 2 | |
| 11 |  RB Leipzig W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 | |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | |
| 13 |  Union Berlin W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 | |
| 14 |  Mainz 05 W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 0 |
- Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women
Official Frauen Bundesliga table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-09.
This season in numbers
The model's Frauen Bundesliga record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 6 | 75.9% | 66.7% | -9.2 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 6 | 87.8% | 83.3% | -4.5 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 5 | 60.7% | 80.0% | +19.3 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 5 | 78.8% | 80.0% | +1.2 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 14 | 66.7% | 57.1% | -9.6 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Frauen Bundesliga matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Frauen Bundesliga results
- 7 Sept · 17:00Union Berlin W0-1Eintracht Frankfurt WAway or Draw✓
- 6 Sept · 17:30Nürnberg W3-3Stuttgart WOver 2.5✓
- 6 Sept · 15:00Bayern Munich W4-1SC Freiburg WOver 2.5✓
- 6 Sept · 13:00VfL Wolfsburg W3-2Werder Bremen WHome or Draw✓
- 5 Sept · 13:00Mainz 05 W0-4FC Koln WNo pick
- 5 Sept · 11:00Hamburger SV W1-1RB Leipzig WNo pick
- 4 Sept · 17:301899 Hoffenheim W1-2Bayer Leverkusen WOver 2.5✓
- 31 Aug · 17:00Bayern Munich W2-0Mainz 05 WOver 2.5✗
- 30 Aug · 17:30Werder Bremen W2-0RB Leipzig WNo pick
- 30 Aug · 15:00Bayer Leverkusen W1-2VfL Wolfsburg WOver 2.5✓
About Frauen Bundesliga
Frauen Bundesliga is the fourth tier of Germany football with 14 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.19 goals per game over 21 matches: both teams scored in 62%, 52% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 38% with 19% drawn. VfL Wolfsburg W lead the table on 9 points from 3 games.
How the model handles Frauen Bundesliga
Every Frauen Bundesliga fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 36 Frauen Bundesliga tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 72.6% on average and landing 69.4%. Its best-calibrated Frauen Bundesliga market so far is away or draw (78.8% claimed against 80.0% hit over 5 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Frauen Bundesliga predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Frauen Bundesliga table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Frauen Bundesliga market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Frauen Bundesliga tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is away or draw: 78.8% claimed against 80.0% hit over 5 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Frauen Bundesliga fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Frauen Bundesliga by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.