Frauen Bundesliga predictions
Germany · fourth tier · 14 teams · table updated 24 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Frauen Bundesliga match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Frauen Bundesliga in the Bet Finder.
This week's Frauen Bundesliga fixtures
Frauen Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern Munich W | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 7 | +22 | 24 | |
| 2 |  VfL Wolfsburg W | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 8 | +18 | 21 | |
| 3 |  Eintracht Frankfurt W | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 17 | |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen W | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 13 | |
| 5 |  FC Koln W | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 12 | |
| 6 |  Werder Bremen W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 | |
| 7 |  RB Leipzig W | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 10 | |
| 8 |  SC Freiburg W | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 | |
| 9 |  Union Berlin W | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 | |
| 10 |  Stuttgart W | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 8 | |
| 11 |  1899 Hoffenheim W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 | |
| 12 |  Hamburger SV W | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 5 | |
| 13 |  Nürnberg W | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 2 | |
| 14 |  Mainz 05 W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 24 | -21 | 0 |
- Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women
Official Frauen Bundesliga table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-24.
This season in numbers
The model's Frauen Bundesliga record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 13 | 73.7% | 84.6% | +10.9 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 10 | 88.8% | 90.0% | +1.2 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 12 | 63.0% | 83.3% | +20.3 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 12 | 79.7% | 83.3% | +3.6 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 34 | 66.4% | 73.5% | +7.1 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 4 | 64.0% | 50.0% | -14.0 |
Settled Frauen Bundesliga matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Frauen Bundesliga results
- 24 Oct · 13:00Stuttgart W0-3Eintracht Frankfurt WAway or Draw✓
- 24 Oct · 11:00VfL Wolfsburg W3-0FC Koln WHome or Draw✓
- 23 Oct · 17:30RB Leipzig W1-5Bayern Munich WAway or Draw✓
- 19 Oct · 17:00Bayern Munich W5-0Stuttgart WOver 2.5✓
- 18 Oct · 17:30Mainz 05 W0-5VfL Wolfsburg WAway or Draw✓
- 18 Oct · 13:00Union Berlin W2-1Nürnberg WOver 2.5✓
- 17 Oct · 13:00Bayer Leverkusen W1-1Eintracht Frankfurt WOver 2.5✗
- 17 Oct · 11:00FC Koln W3-1Hamburger SV WNo pick
- 16 Oct · 17:30SC Freiburg W0-3RB Leipzig WOver 2.5✓
- 4 Oct · 17:30Nürnberg W1-21899 Hoffenheim WBTTS✓
About Frauen Bundesliga
Frauen Bundesliga is the fourth tier of Germany football with 14 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.47 goals per game over 51 matches: both teams scored in 59%, 69% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 47% with 12% drawn. Bayern Munich W lead the table on 24 points from 8 games.
How the model handles Frauen Bundesliga
Every Frauen Bundesliga fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 85 Frauen Bundesliga tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 71.4% on average and landing 78.8%. Its best-calibrated Frauen Bundesliga market so far is home or draw (88.8% claimed against 90.0% hit over 10 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Frauen Bundesliga predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Frauen Bundesliga table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Frauen Bundesliga market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Frauen Bundesliga tips since 27 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 88.8% claimed against 90.0% hit over 10 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Frauen Bundesliga fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Frauen Bundesliga by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.