2. Bundesliga predictions
Germany · second tier · 18 teams · table updated 25 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every 2. Bundesliga match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter 2. Bundesliga in the Bet Finder.
This week's 2. Bundesliga fixtures
- 25 Oct · 12:30Eintracht BraunschweigvHannover 96No pick yet
- 25 Oct · 12:30Holstein KielvDynamo DresdenNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 12:30VfL OsnabrückvSpVgg Greuther FürthNo pick yet
- 30 Oct · 17:30Arminia BielefeldvEintracht BraunschweigNo pick yet
- 30 Oct · 17:30Energie CottbusvVfL BochumNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 12:00SV Darmstadt 98v1. FC MagdeburgNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 12:001. FC KaiserslauternvHertha BSCNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 12:00VfL WolfsburgvVfL OsnabrückNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 19:30Karlsruher SCv1. FC HeidenheimNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 12:30SpVgg Greuther FürthvHolstein KielNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 12:30Hannover 96vDynamo DresdenNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 12:30FC St. Pauliv1. FC NürnbergNo pick yet
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 8 | +12 | 25 | |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 18 | |
| 3 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 18 | |
| 4 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 14 | +9 | 16 | |
| 5 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 12 | +8 | 16 | |
| 6 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 15 | |
| 7 |  FC St. Pauli | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 12 | |
| 8 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 11 | |
| 9 |  Energie Cottbus | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 10 | |
| 10 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 9 | |
| 11 |  Dynamo Dresden | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 8 | |
| 12 |  VfL Osnabrück | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 8 | |
| 13 |  VfL Bochum | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 8 | |
| 14 |  Hannover 96 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 | |
| 15 |  Karlsruher SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 8 | |
| 16 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8 | |
| 17 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 7 | |
| 18 |  Holstein Kiel | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-offs
- Relegation Playoffs
- Relegation
Official 2. Bundesliga table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-25.
This season in numbers
The model's 2. Bundesliga record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 3 | 60.9% | 66.7% | +5.8 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 6 | 83.0% | 66.7% | -16.3 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 29 | 59.8% | 48.3% | -11.5 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 6 | 64.1% | 33.3% | -30.8 |
Settled 2. Bundesliga matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent 2. Bundesliga results
- 24 Oct · 19:301. FC Nürnberg0-11. FC KaiserslauternNo pick
- 24 Oct · 12:001. FC Magdeburg6-1Karlsruher SCNo pick
- 24 Oct · 12:00Hertha BSC1-0Arminia BielefeldNo pick
- 24 Oct · 12:001. FC Heidenheim1-1Energie CottbusOver 2.5✗
- 23 Oct · 17:30SV Darmstadt 980-0FC St. PauliOver 2.5✗
- 23 Oct · 17:30VfL Bochum1-1VfL WolfsburgNo pick
- 18 Oct · 12:30Dynamo Dresden2-01. FC MagdeburgBTTS✗
- 18 Oct · 12:30Karlsruher SC4-0SV Darmstadt 98BTTS✗
- 18 Oct · 12:30Arminia Bielefeld2-1VfL OsnabrückNo pick
- 17 Oct · 19:30Hannover 961-1FC St. PauliOver 2.5✗
About 2. Bundesliga
2. Bundesliga is the second tier of Germany football with 18 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.04 goals per game over 78 matches: both teams scored in 58%, 55% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 44% with 31% drawn. Hertha BSC lead the table on 25 points from 9 games.
How the model handles 2. Bundesliga
Every 2. Bundesliga fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 44 2. Bundesliga tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 63.6% on average and landing 50.0%. Its best-calibrated 2. Bundesliga market so far is over 2.5 (59.8% claimed against 48.3% hit over 29 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these 2. Bundesliga predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the 2. Bundesliga table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which 2. Bundesliga market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled 2. Bundesliga tips since 27 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 59.8% claimed against 48.3% hit over 29 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are 2. Bundesliga fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter 2. Bundesliga by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.