A-League predictions
Australia · top flight · 12 teams · table updated 26 May
Calibrated probabilities for every A-League match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter A-League in the Bet Finder.
This week's A-League fixtures
No A-League fixtures in the next 7 days.
A-League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Newcastle Jets | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55 | 39 | +16 | 48 | |
| 2 |  Adelaide United | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46 | 36 | +10 | 43 | |
| 3 |  Auckland | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42 | 29 | +13 | 42 | |
| 4 |  Melbourne Victory | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 33 | +11 | 40 | |
| 5 |  Sydney | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 25 | +8 | 39 | |
| 6 |  Melbourne City | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 38 | |
| 7 |  Macarthur | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 34 | |
| 8 |  Wellington Phoenix | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 | |
| 9 |  Central Coast Mariners | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 32 | |
| 10 |  Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 31 | |
| 11 |  Brisbane Roar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 26 | |
| 12 |  Western Sydney Wanderers | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 21 |
- Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
- Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Official A-League table via API-Sports · updated 2026-05-26.
This season in numbers
The model's A-League record
Not enough settled A-League tips since 23 Jul to publish a record yet — it fills in as the season goes. Site-wide numbers are on the track record page.
Recent A-League results
- 23 May · 9:10Auckland1-0SydneyNo pick
- 16 May · 10:40Newcastle Jets1-1SydneyNo pick
- 15 May · 10:35Adelaide United0-3AucklandNo pick
- 9 May · 10:40Sydney1-1Newcastle JetsNo pick
- 9 May · 7:00Auckland1-1Adelaide UnitedNo pick
- 2 May · 10:40Melbourne Victory0-1SydneyNo pick
- 2 May · 6:00Auckland1-1Melbourne CityNo pick
- 26 Apr · 8:30Melbourne City1-2Adelaide UnitedOver 2.5✓
- 26 Apr · 6:00Sydney2-2AucklandNo pick
- 25 Apr · 12:45Perth Glory2-1Brisbane RoarNo pick
About A-League
A-League is the top flight of Australia football with 12 teams. The 2025/26 season has produced 2.82 goals per game over 163 matches: both teams scored in 60%, 56% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 37% with 28% drawn. Newcastle Jets lead the table on 48 points from 26 games.
How the model handles A-League
Every A-League fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Predictions on finished matches have only been frozen at kickoff since 23 Jul, and there are not yet enough settled A-League tips to publish a per-league record — it fills in as the season goes. The site-wide record is on the track record page. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these A-League predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the A-League table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which A-League market is the model most reliable in?
- There are not yet enough settled A-League tips since 23 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
- How far ahead are A-League fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter A-League by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.