Moreirense vs AVS predictions — Primeira Liga, 16 May

Model's headline prediction

Moreirense favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. AVS have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. The last 3 meetings produced 2 Moreirense wins, 0 AVS wins and 1 draw, averaging 2.3 goals.