Moreirense vs Estrela predictions — Primeira Liga, 2 May

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Moreirense have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 home games, scoring 0.4 and conceding 1.2 per game. Estrela have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.4 and conceding 1.4 per game.