Sporting CP vs Guimaraes predictions — Primeira Liga, 4 May

Model's headline prediction

Sporting CP favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Guimaraes have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.8 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 3 Sporting CP wins, 2 Guimaraes wins and 1 draw, averaging 4.3 goals.