Moreirense vs Nacional predictions — Primeira Liga, 7 Mar

Model's headline prediction

Moreirense favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Nacional have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.2 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 3 Moreirense wins, 2 Nacional wins and 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals.