Guimaraes vs Nacional predictions — Primeira Liga, 2 Jan

Model's headline prediction

Guimaraes favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Nacional have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8 per game. The last 4 meetings produced 2 Guimaraes wins, 1 Nacional win and 1 draw, averaging 3.0 goals.