Arsenal vs Burnley predictions — Premier League, 18 May

Model's headline prediction

Arsenal are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 at home. Burnley have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.6 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 4 Arsenal wins, 0 Burnley wins and 2 draws, averaging 2.3 goals.