Arsenal vs Newcastle predictions — Premier League, 25 Apr

Model's headline prediction

Arsenal favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Newcastle have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 away games, scoring 2.2 and conceding 2.4 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 3 Arsenal wins, 3 Newcastle wins and 0 draws, averaging 2.3 goals.