UEFA Europa Conference League predictions
European competitions · cup · 36 teams · table updated 26 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every UEFA Europa Conference League match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter UEFA Europa Conference League in the Bet Finder.
This week's UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures
No UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures in the next 7 days.
UEFA Europa Conference League league phase table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 6 | |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 6 | |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 6 | |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 6 | |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 6 | |
| 6 |  Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 6 | |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 6 | |
| 8 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 | |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 4 | |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 4 | |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 | |
| 12 |  Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 4 | |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 | |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 | |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | |
| 18 |  SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 21 |  Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 1 | |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | |
| 24 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 | |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 0 |
- Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
- Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
Official UEFA Europa Conference League table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-26.
This season in numbers
The model's UEFA Europa Conference League record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 46 | 63.2% | 71.7% | +8.5 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 48 | 83.3% | 85.4% | +2.1 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 16 | 53.5% | 56.3% | +2.8 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 15 | 76.7% | 93.3% | +16.6 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 20 | 60.0% | 70.0% | +10.0 |
Settled UEFA Europa Conference League matches since 29 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent UEFA Europa Conference League results
- 22 Oct · 20:00League phase, matchday 2FC Thun0-1HNK Hajduk SplitDraw✗
- 22 Oct · 20:00League phase, matchday 2Monaco3-0SC FreiburgNo pick
- 22 Oct · 20:00League phase, matchday 2FC Midtjylland0-1St. TruidenNo pick
- 22 Oct · 20:00League phase, matchday 2Lincoln Red Imps FC1-4TwenteAway or Draw✓
- 22 Oct · 20:00League phase, matchday 2SC Braga2-0GentHome or Draw✓
- 22 Oct · 20:00League phase, matchday 2Borac Banja Luka2-0KuPSNo pick
- 22 Oct · 20:00League phase, matchday 2Ajax2-0AtalantaOver 2.5✗
- 22 Oct · 20:00League phase, matchday 2Aarhus1-1Egnatia RrogozhinëNo pick
- 22 Oct · 17:45League phase, matchday 2Trabzonspor2-0Heart Of MidlothianHome or Draw✓
- 22 Oct · 17:45League phase, matchday 2Pafos1-1RigaHome Win✗
About UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League is one of UEFA's three club competitions: qualifying rounds, then a 36-team league phase, then knockout ties. The 2026/27 edition has produced 2.89 goals per game over 294 matches (90-minute scores, extra time left out): both teams scored in 53%, 54% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 46% with 27% drawn. Panathinaikos lead the league phase on 6 points from 2 games.
How the model handles UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League ties are scored by a cup model, trained on cup football and separate from the league model: it adds a strength rating for each side's domestic league, built from European results, and the first-leg score in two-legged ties to the usual form, Elo and rest-day inputs. We don't publish both-teams-to-score calls for UEFA Europa Conference League: the cup model's BTTS numbers haven't been reliable enough to stand behind. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 29 Jul, the model has settled 145 UEFA Europa Conference League tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 69.7% on average and landing 76.5%. Its best-calibrated UEFA Europa Conference League market so far is home or draw (83.3% claimed against 85.4% hit over 48 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these UEFA Europa Conference League predictions made?
- Each tie gets probabilities from two models trained on cup football: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for over/under goals. Inputs are recent form, Elo ratings, rest days, a strength rating for each side's domestic league and the first-leg score in two-legged ties and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. The goals probabilities pass through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Do UEFA Europa Conference League predictions include extra time and penalties?
- No. The model predicts the 90-minute result, the way bookmakers settle the match-result and goals markets, and the season figures on this page use 90-minute scores too. In a two-legged tie each leg is predicted on its own, with the first-leg score as an input to the second.
- Which UEFA Europa Conference League market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled UEFA Europa Conference League tips since 29 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 83.3% claimed against 85.4% hit over 48 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. The exact probabilities are on each fixture page. To filter UEFA Europa Conference League by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.