NWSL Women predictions
USA · second tier · 16 teams · table updated 24 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every NWSL Women match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter NWSL Women in the Bet Finder.
This week's NWSL Women fixtures
- 25 Oct · 19:00Orlando Pride WvNJ/NY Gotham FC WNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 21:00Kansas City WvWashington Spirit WNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 23:00San Diego Wave WvBoston Legacy WNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 22:00Angel City WvBoston Legacy WNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 22:00Bay FC WvSan Diego Wave WNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 22:00NJ/NY Gotham FC WvUtah Royals WNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 22:00Houston Dash WvPortland Thorns WNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 22:00North Carolina Courage WvDenver Summit WNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 22:00Racing Louisville WvKansas City WNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 22:00Seattle Reign FC WvOrlando Pride WNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 22:00Washington Spirit WvChicago Red Stars WNo pick yet
NWSL Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NJ/NY Gotham FC W | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 22 | +13 | 55 | |
| 2 |  San Diego Wave W | 28 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 42 | 29 | +13 | 54 | |
| 3 |  Washington Spirit W | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 26 | +14 | 52 | |
| 4 |  Angel City W | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 31 | +19 | 49 | |
| 5 |  Kansas City W | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 50 | 38 | +12 | 47 | |
| 6 |  Utah Royals W | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 44 | 37 | +7 | 47 | |
| 7 |  Portland Thorns W | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 48 | 41 | +7 | 47 | |
| 8 |  Seattle Reign FC W | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36 | 33 | +3 | 44 | |
| 9 |  North Carolina Courage W | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 51 | 42 | +9 | 42 | |
| 10 |  Denver Summit W | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 53 | 41 | +12 | 41 | |
| 11 |  Orlando Pride W | 28 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 36 | |
| 12 |  Houston Dash W | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 33 | |
| 13 |  Boston Legacy W | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 32 | |
| 14 |  Bay FC W | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 27 | |
| 15 |  Racing Louisville W | 29 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 38 | 60 | -22 | 24 | |
| 16 |  Chicago Red Stars W | 29 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 17 | 69 | -52 | 17 |
- Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Official NWSL Women table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-24.
This season in numbers
The model's NWSL Women record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 13 | 60.8% | 38.5% | -22.3 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 11 | 82.1% | 63.6% | -18.5 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 2 | 53.9% | 100.0% | +46.1 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 2 | 76.0% | 100.0% | +24.0 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 7 | 61.9% | 57.1% | -4.8 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled NWSL Women matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent NWSL Women results
- 25 Oct · 1:45Angel City W2-0Bay FC WNo pick
- 24 Oct · 23:30Denver Summit W6-1Racing Louisville WHome or Draw✓
- 24 Oct · 3:00Portland Thorns W1-0North Carolina Courage WNo pick
- 24 Oct · 2:30Utah Royals W0-0Seattle Reign FC WNo pick
- 24 Oct · 1:00Chicago Red Stars W1-3Houston Dash WNo pick
- 19 Oct · 0:00Chicago Red Stars W1-3Seattle Reign FC WNo pick
- 18 Oct · 22:00Bay FC W2-2Portland Thorns WNo pick
- 18 Oct · 18:00Houston Dash W1-2Orlando Pride WNo pick
- 18 Oct · 1:45Denver Summit W2-3Angel City WNo pick
- 18 Oct · 0:00North Carolina Courage W1-2San Diego Wave WNo pick
About NWSL Women
NWSL Women is the second tier of USA football with 16 teams. The 2026 season has produced 2.83 goals per game over 229 matches: both teams scored in 54%, 57% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 46% with 18% drawn. NJ/NY Gotham FC W lead the table on 55 points from 28 games.
How the model handles NWSL Women
Every NWSL Women fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 35 NWSL Women tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 68.2% on average and landing 57.1%. Its best-calibrated NWSL Women market so far is over 2.5 (61.9% claimed against 57.1% hit over 7 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these NWSL Women predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the NWSL Women table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which NWSL Women market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled NWSL Women tips since 27 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 61.9% claimed against 57.1% hit over 7 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are NWSL Women fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter NWSL Women by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.