Super League predictions
Switzerland · top flight · 12 teams · table updated 16 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Super League match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Super League in the Bet Finder.
This week's Super League fixtures
- 16 Sept · 18:00FC LuganovFC ST. GallenNo pick yet
- 16 Sept · 18:00FC ThunvServette FCOver 2.5Moderate
- 19 Sept · 17:00FC LuzernvGrasshoppersNo pick yet
- 19 Sept · 17:00BSC Young BoysvServette FCOver 2.5Moderate
- 19 Sept · 19:30FC SionvFC ZurichNo pick yet
- 20 Sept · 13:00FC VaduzvFC ThunNo pick yet
- 20 Sept · 15:30FC Basel 1893vFC ST. GallenNo pick yet
- 20 Sept · 15:30LausannevFC LuganoNo pick yet
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Lugano | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 6 | +13 | 19 | |
| 2 |  FC Sion | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | +9 | 18 | |
| 3 |  BSC Young Boys | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 28 | 16 | +12 | 16 | |
| 4 |  FC Basel 1893 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 13 | |
| 5 |  FC ST. Gallen | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 | |
| 6 |  FC Zurich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 | |
| 7 |  FC Luzern | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 9 | |
| 8 |  Grasshoppers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 | |
| 9 |  Servette FC | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 | |
| 10 |  FC Thun | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 7 | |
| 11 |  FC Vaduz | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 6 | |
| 12 |  Lausanne | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
- Play-offs
- Relegation Play-offs
Official Super League table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-16.
This season in numbers
The model's Super League record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 9 | 61.2% | 55.6% | -5.6 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 6 | 83.3% | 83.3% | +0.0 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 21 | 60.8% | 81.0% | +20.2 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Super League matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Super League results
- 15 Sept · 18:00Grasshoppers2-5FC SionOver 2.5✓
- 13 Sept · 15:30FC Luzern2-4FC Basel 1893No pick
- 13 Sept · 15:30Lausanne0-1Servette FCNo pick
- 13 Sept · 13:00FC Zurich2-1FC VaduzOver 2.5✓
- 12 Sept · 18:00FC Lugano2-2BSC Young BoysNo pick
- 12 Sept · 17:00FC Thun0-1GrasshoppersHome or Draw✗
- 12 Sept · 17:00FC ST. Gallen0-3FC SionOver 2.5✓
- 6 Sept · 15:30FC Sion3-2FC ThunNo pick
- 6 Sept · 15:30FC Basel 18931-3FC LuganoNo pick
- 6 Sept · 13:00Servette FC0-2FC ST. GallenNo pick
About Super League
Super League is the top flight of Switzerland football with 12 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.78 goals per game over 46 matches: both teams scored in 72%, 76% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 39% with 20% drawn. FC Lugano lead the table on 19 points from 7 games.
How the model handles Super League
Every Super League fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 36 Super League tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 64.6% on average and landing 75.0%. Its best-calibrated Super League market so far is home or draw (83.3% claimed against 83.3% hit over 6 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Super League predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Super League table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Super League market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Super League tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 83.3% claimed against 83.3% hit over 6 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Super League fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Super League by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.