1. Liga Promotion predictions
Switzerland · third tier · 18 teams · table updated 24 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every 1. Liga Promotion match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter 1. Liga Promotion in the Bet Finder.
This week's 1. Liga Promotion fixtures
- 28 Oct · 18:30ChamvLuzern IIBTTSStrong
- 31 Oct · 14:00ParadisovBiel-BienneNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 14:30BreitenrainvBasel IINo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 14:30FC SchaffhausenvAmical Saint-PrexNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 15:00ChamvBavoisNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 15:00KreuzlingenvLuzern IINo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 15:00Grand-SaconnexvYoung Boys IINo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 15:00YF JuventusvBrühlNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 16:00Zürich IIvLugano IINo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 15:00BellinzonavBulleNo pick yet
1. Liga Promotion table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Biel-Bienne | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 12 | +13 | 26 | |
| 2 |  FC Schaffhausen | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 13 | +16 | 25 | |
| 3 |  Bulle | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 18 | +9 | 24 | |
| 4 |  Paradiso | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 14 | +12 | 24 | |
| 5 |  Cham | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 14 | +5 | 22 | |
| 6 |  Grand-Saconnex | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 16 | +7 | 21 | |
| 7 |  Basel II | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 19 | |
| 8 |  YF Juventus | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19 | |
| 9 |  Amical Saint-Prex | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 19 | |
| 10 |  Zürich II | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 18 | |
| 11 |  Breitenrain | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 18 | |
| 12 |  Brühl | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 17 | |
| 13 |  Kreuzlingen | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 15 | |
| 14 |  Lugano II | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 12 | |
| 15 |  Young Boys II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 12 | |
| 16 |  Bavois | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 8 | |
| 17 |  Bellinzona | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 | |
| 18 |  Luzern II | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 7 |
- Promotion - Challenge League
- Relegation
Official 1. Liga Promotion table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-24.
This season in numbers
The model's 1. Liga Promotion record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 7 | 60.5% | 42.9% | -17.6 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 5 | 81.5% | 40.0% | -41.5 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 64 | 61.7% | 68.8% | +7.1 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 17 | 65.3% | 52.9% | -12.4 |
Settled 1. Liga Promotion matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent 1. Liga Promotion results
- 25 Oct · 15:00Lugano II1-1BellinzonaOver 2.5✗
- 25 Oct · 14:00Bulle3-2Grand-SaconnexNo pick
- 25 Oct · 14:00Biel-Bienne2-2ChamNo pick
- 25 Oct · 13:00Young Boys II5-2KreuzlingenOver 2.5✓
- 24 Oct · 15:00YF Juventus3-1BreitenrainOver 2.5✓
- 24 Oct · 15:00Luzern II1-2ParadisoOver 2.5✓
- 24 Oct · 15:00Brühl3-1Zürich IIOver 2.5✓
- 24 Oct · 14:00Amical Saint-Prex2-0Basel IIOver 2.5✗
- 21 Oct · 18:30Bellinzona2-0BrühlOver 2.5✗
- 21 Oct · 18:00Kreuzlingen2-3BulleNo pick
About 1. Liga Promotion
1. Liga Promotion is the third tier of Switzerland football with 18 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.33 goals per game over 114 matches: both teams scored in 59%, 68% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 47% with 16% drawn. Biel-Bienne lead the table on 26 points from 11 games.
How the model handles 1. Liga Promotion
Every 1. Liga Promotion fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 93 1. Liga Promotion tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 63.3% on average and landing 62.4%. Its best-calibrated 1. Liga Promotion market so far is over 2.5 (61.7% claimed against 68.8% hit over 64 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these 1. Liga Promotion predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the 1. Liga Promotion table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which 1. Liga Promotion market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled 1. Liga Promotion tips since 27 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 61.7% claimed against 68.8% hit over 64 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are 1. Liga Promotion fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter 1. Liga Promotion by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.