1. Liga Promotion predictions
Switzerland · third tier · 18 teams · table updated 9 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every 1. Liga Promotion match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter 1. Liga Promotion in the Bet Finder.
This week's 1. Liga Promotion fixtures
- 10 Sept · 19:00BullevAmical Saint-PrexNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 15:00BrühlvFC SchaffhausenNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 15:00Luzern IIvBiel-BienneOver 2.5Moderate
- 12 Sept · 15:00YF JuventusvChamOver 2.5Moderate
- 12 Sept · 15:00Young Boys IIvBavoisOver 2.5Moderate
- 12 Sept · 16:00Grand-SaconnexvBreitenrainNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 14:30Lugano IIvBasel IIOver 2.5Moderate
- 13 Sept · 15:00BellinzonavKreuzlingenNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 15:00Zürich IIvParadisoOver 2.5Moderate
1. Liga Promotion table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Biel-Bienne | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 13 | |
| 2 |  Cham | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 13 | |
| 3 |  FC Schaffhausen | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 12 | |
| 4 |  Bulle | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 11 | |
| 5 |  Paradiso | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 10 | |
| 6 |  Brühl | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 10 | |
| 7 |  Breitenrain | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 | |
| 8 |  Zürich II | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 | |
| 9 |  Basel II | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 9 | |
| 10 |  Grand-Saconnex | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 9 | |
| 11 |  Amical Saint-Prex | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 | |
| 12 |  Bavois | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 8 | |
| 13 |  Kreuzlingen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 7 | |
| 14 |  Young Boys II | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 7 | |
| 15 |  YF Juventus | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 | |
| 16 |  Lugano II | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 6 | |
| 17 |  Luzern II | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 4 | |
| 18 |  Bellinzona | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 1 |
- Promotion - Challenge League
- Relegation
Official 1. Liga Promotion table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-09.
This season in numbers
The model's 1. Liga Promotion record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 5 | 61.2% | 40.0% | -21.2 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 3 | 81.8% | 33.3% | -48.5 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 29 | 62.2% | 69.0% | +6.8 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 6 | 65.7% | 66.7% | +1.0 |
Settled 1. Liga Promotion matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent 1. Liga Promotion results
- 6 Sept · 14:00Biel-Bienne2-4Young Boys IIOver 2.5✓
- 5 Sept · 16:00Amical Saint-Prex1-0Lugano IIOver 2.5✗
- 5 Sept · 15:00Paradiso4-0BellinzonaNo pick
- 5 Sept · 15:00Bavois3-0BulleNo pick
- 5 Sept · 15:00Kreuzlingen0-1Grand-SaconnexNo pick
- 5 Sept · 15:00Cham4-0Zürich IIOver 2.5✓
- 5 Sept · 14:30FC Schaffhausen0-3YF JuventusHome or Draw✗
- 5 Sept · 14:30Breitenrain1-0Luzern IIBTTS✗
- 5 Sept · 14:30Basel II3-0BrühlOver 2.5✓
- 30 Aug · 15:00Zürich II3-1FC SchaffhausenOver 2.5✓
About 1. Liga Promotion
1. Liga Promotion is the third tier of Switzerland football with 18 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.46 goals per game over 54 matches: both teams scored in 59%, 70% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 50% with 13% drawn. Biel-Bienne lead the table on 13 points from 6 games.
How the model handles 1. Liga Promotion
Every 1. Liga Promotion fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 43 1. Liga Promotion tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 63.9% on average and landing 62.8%. Its best-calibrated 1. Liga Promotion market so far is btts (65.7% claimed against 66.7% hit over 6 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these 1. Liga Promotion predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the 1. Liga Promotion table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which 1. Liga Promotion market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled 1. Liga Promotion tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is btts: 65.7% claimed against 66.7% hit over 6 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are 1. Liga Promotion fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter 1. Liga Promotion by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.