League Two predictions
Scotland · fourth tier · 10 teams · table updated 8 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every League Two match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter League Two in the Bet Finder.
This week's League Two fixtures
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Clyde | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 13 | |
| 2 |  Elgin City | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 7 | +11 | 11 | |
| 3 |  Stranraer | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 | |
| 4 |  Spartans | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 9 | |
| 5 |  Kelty Hearts | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 | |
| 6 |  Forfar Athletic | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 | |
| 7 |  Annan Athletic | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 | |
| 8 |  Dumbarton | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 6 | |
| 9 |  Stirling Albion | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 | |
| 10 |  Edinburgh City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 3(-5) |
- Promotion - League One
- Promotion - League One (Promotion - Play Offs)
- League Two (Promotion - Play Offs)
Official League Two table via API-Sports · points deductions applied to Edinburgh City · updated 2026-09-08.
This season in numbers
The model's League Two record
Not enough settled League Two tips since 23 Jul to publish a record yet — it fills in as the season goes. Site-wide numbers are on the track record page.
Recent League Two results
- 5 Sept · 15:00Stirling Albion0-2SpartansOver 2.5✗
- 5 Sept · 15:00Kelty Hearts2-1Annan AthleticNo pick
- 5 Sept · 15:00Forfar Athletic0-3StranraerNo pick
- 5 Sept · 15:00Dumbarton2-1Elgin CityNo pick
- 5 Sept · 15:00Clyde3-2Edinburgh CityNo pick
- 29 Aug · 15:00Stranraer2-0Kelty HeartsNo pick
- 29 Aug · 15:00Spartans3-3ClydeDraw✓
- 29 Aug · 15:00Elgin City4-0Stirling AlbionNo pick
- 29 Aug · 15:00Annan Athletic2-0DumbartonOver 2.5✗
- 28 Aug · 19:45Edinburgh City1-1Forfar AthleticNo pick
About League Two
League Two is the fourth tier of Scotland football with 10 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.20 goals per game over 30 matches: both teams scored in 50%, 63% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 57% with 20% drawn. Clyde lead the table on 13 points from 6 games. Edinburgh City (-5) has had points deducted, which the table above reflects.
How the model handles League Two
Every League Two fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Predictions on finished matches have only been frozen at kickoff since 23 Jul, and there are not yet enough settled League Two tips to publish a per-league record — it fills in as the season goes. The site-wide record is on the track record page. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these League Two predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the League Two table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which League Two market is the model most reliable in?
- There are not yet enough settled League Two tips since 23 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
- How far ahead are League Two fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter League Two by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.