Championship predictions
Scotland · second tier · 10 teams · table updated 7 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Championship match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Championship in the Bet Finder.
This week's Championship fixtures
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Stenhousemuir | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 13 | |
| 2 |  Partick | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 11 | |
| 3 |  Raith Rovers | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 10 | |
| 4 |  Arbroath | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | |
| 5 |  Livingston | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | |
| 6 |  Dunfermline | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 | |
| 7 |  Ayr Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 | |
| 8 |  Queen's Park | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 4 | |
| 9 |  Inverness CT | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | |
| 10 |  Morton | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
- Promotion - Premiership
- Promotion - Premiership (Promotion: Semi-finals)
- Promotion - Premiership (Promotion: Quarter-finals)
- Championship (Relegation)
- Relegation - League One
Official Championship table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-07.
This season in numbers
The model's Championship record
Not enough settled Championship tips since 23 Jul to publish a record yet — it fills in as the season goes. Site-wide numbers are on the track record page.
Recent Championship results
- 5 Sept · 15:00Queen's Park2-1MortonNo pick
- 5 Sept · 15:00Partick1-0Ayr UtdNo pick
- 5 Sept · 15:00Inverness CT0-2Raith RoversNo pick
- 5 Sept · 15:00Arbroath1-1DunfermlineNo pick
- 4 Sept · 19:30Livingston0-1StenhousemuirNo pick
- 29 Aug · 15:00Stenhousemuir3-1Inverness CTNo pick
- 29 Aug · 15:00Partick0-0Queen's ParkNo pick
- 29 Aug · 15:00Ayr Utd1-1MortonNo pick
- 29 Aug · 15:00Arbroath1-0LivingstonDraw✗
- 28 Aug · 19:30Dunfermline1-0Raith RoversNo pick
About Championship
Championship is the second tier of Scotland football with 10 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 1.76 goals per game over 25 matches: both teams scored in 36%, 16% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 44% with 32% drawn. Stenhousemuir lead the table on 13 points from 5 games.
How the model handles Championship
Every Championship fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Predictions on finished matches have only been frozen at kickoff since 23 Jul, and there are not yet enough settled Championship tips to publish a per-league record — it fills in as the season goes. The site-wide record is on the track record page. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Championship predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Championship table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Championship market is the model most reliable in?
- There are not yet enough settled Championship tips since 23 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
- How far ahead are Championship fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Championship by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.