Primera D predictions
Argentina · fifth tier · table updated 12 Feb
Calibrated probabilities for every Primera D match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Primera D in the Bet Finder.
This week's Primera D fixtures
No Primera D fixtures in the next 7 days.
Primera D table
Primera D: Clausura
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Liniers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 | |
| 2 |  Defensores de Cambaceres | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 3 |  Atletico Atlas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 4 |  Deportivo Paraguayo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 5 |  Lugano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 6 |  Central Ballester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 7 |  Sportivo Barracas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 8 |  Juventud Unida | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 9 |  Yupanqui | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10 |  Centro Español | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 11 |  Claypole | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 12 |  Puerto Nuevo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 13 |  Deportivo Muñiz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | |
| 14 |  Argentino Rosario | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Primera D: Apertura
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liniers | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 11 | +9 | 28 | |
| 2 | Sportivo Barracas | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 27 | |
| 3 | Claypole | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 27 | |
| 4 | Atletico Atlas | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 20 | |
| 5 | Juventud Unida | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 | |
| 6 | Centro Español | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 18 | |
| 7 | Yupanqui | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 17 | |
| 8 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 18 | +1 | 16 | |
| 9 | Lugano | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 16 | |
| 10 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 | |
| 11 | Puerto Nuevo | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 13 | |
| 12 | Central Ballester | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 12 | |
| 13 | Argentino Rosario | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 11 | |
| 14 | Deportivo Muñiz | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 |
- Final
Official Primera D table via API-Sports · updated 2020-02-12.
This season in numbers
The model's Primera D record
Not enough settled Primera D tips since 23 Jul to publish a record yet — it fills in as the season goes. Site-wide numbers are on the track record page.
Recent Primera D results
- 28 Nov · 20:00Central Ballester0-0Deportivo ParaguayoNo pick
- 28 Nov · 20:00Sportivo Barracas0-1Centro EspañolNo pick
- 28 Nov · 20:00Mercedes0-4Juventud UnidaNo pick
- 25 Nov · 20:00Lugano0-1El PorvenirNo pick
- 25 Nov · 20:00Deportivo Muñiz1-4Defensores de CambaceresNo pick
- 24 Nov · 20:00Juventud Unida0-4Argentino RosarioNo pick
- 24 Nov · 20:00Centro Español2-1Central BallesterNo pick
- 20 Nov · 20:00Deportivo Paraguayo0-2MercedesNo pick
- 20 Nov · 20:00El Porvenir1-0Sportivo BarracasNo pick
- 20 Nov · 20:00Defensores de Cambaceres2-1LuganoNo pick
About Primera D
Primera D is the fifth tier of Argentina football played across 2 groups. The 2023 season has produced 2.15 goals per game over 165 matches: both teams scored in 41%, 36% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 41% with 29% drawn. The table is published as Primera D: Clausura, Primera D: Apertura.
How the model handles Primera D
Every Primera D fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Predictions on finished matches have only been frozen at kickoff since 23 Jul, and there are not yet enough settled Primera D tips to publish a per-league record — it fills in as the season goes. The site-wide record is on the track record page. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Primera D predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Primera D table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Primera D market is the model most reliable in?
- There are not yet enough settled Primera D tips since 23 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
- How far ahead are Primera D fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Primera D by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.