Primera B Metropolitana predictions
Argentina · third tier · 22 teams · table updated 9 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Primera B Metropolitana match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Primera B Metropolitana in the Bet Finder.
This week's Primera B Metropolitana fixtures
- 11 Sept · 23:00ItuzaingóvComunicacionesAway or DrawModerate
- 12 Sept · 0:00Argentino de MerlovReal PilarNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 19:00Arsenal SarandivUAI UrquizaNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 19:00Defensores UnidosvDock SudNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 19:00Deportivo ArmeniovSportivo ItalianoDrawModerate
- 12 Sept · 19:00Deportivo LaferrerevVilla San CarlosDrawStrong
- 12 Sept · 19:00Talleres RemediosvLiniersNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 20:00Brown DE AdroguevSan Martín BurzacoDrawSolid
- 13 Sept · 0:00ExcursionistasvVilla DalmineHome or DrawModerate
- 13 Sept · 19:00Argentino QuilmesvDeportivo MerloNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 19:00FlandriavDeportivo CamionerosNo pick yet
Primera B Metropolitana table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Excursionistas | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 51 | 28 | +23 | 65 | |
| 2 |  Arsenal Sarandi | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 45 | 22 | +23 | 63 | |
| 3 |  Deportivo Camioneros | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 40 | 20 | +20 | 63 | |
| 4 |  Talleres Remedios | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 37 | 17 | +20 | 63 | |
| 5 |  Villa Dalmine | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 35 | 17 | +18 | 60 | |
| 6 |  Sportivo Italiano | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 41 | 26 | +15 | 58 | |
| 7 |  Real Pilar | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 37 | 34 | +3 | 52 | |
| 8 |  Comunicaciones | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 31 | +3 | 49 | |
| 9 |  Deportivo Armenio | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 48 | |
| 10 |  Deportivo Laferrere | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 47 | |
| 11 |  Dock Sud | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 38 | 35 | +3 | 43 | |
| 12 |  Argentino de Merlo | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 41 | |
| 13 |  San Martín Burzaco | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 41 | |
| 14 |  Deportivo Merlo | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 40 | |
| 15 |  Villa San Carlos | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 39 | |
| 16 |  Argentino Quilmes | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 37 | |
| 17 |  Liniers | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 37 | |
| 18 |  Flandria | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 35 | |
| 19 |  Defensores Unidos | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 34 | |
| 20 |  Brown DE Adrogue | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 34 | |
| 21 |  UAI Urquiza | 34 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 31 | |
| 22 |  Ituzaingó | 34 | 1 | 11 | 22 | 20 | 53 | -33 | 14 |
- Promotion - Primera Nacional
- Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
- Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)
Official Primera B Metropolitana table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-09.
This season in numbers
The model's Primera B Metropolitana record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 3 | 59.8% | 66.7% | +6.9 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 9 | 82.5% | 88.9% | +6.4 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 1 | 56.0% | 100.0% | +44.0 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 1 | 78.5% | 100.0% | +21.5 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 0 | — | — | — |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Primera B Metropolitana matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Primera B Metropolitana results
- 8 Sept · 0:00Excursionistas2-1ItuzaingóHome or Draw✓
- 6 Sept · 19:00Villa San Carlos0-0Brown DE AdrogueNo pick
- 6 Sept · 19:00UAI Urquiza2-0Argentino de MerloNo pick
- 6 Sept · 19:00Liniers2-2Deportivo LaferrereDraw✓
- 6 Sept · 17:00Dock Sud0-1ComunicacionesNo pick
- 6 Sept · 17:00Deportivo Camioneros1-0Argentino QuilmesNo pick
- 5 Sept · 23:00Deportivo Merlo0-0Defensores UnidosDraw✓
- 5 Sept · 19:00Villa Dalmine0-1Arsenal SarandiDraw✗
- 5 Sept · 19:00Sportivo Italiano3-1FlandriaNo pick
- 5 Sept · 19:00San Martín Burzaco0-0Deportivo ArmenioNo pick
About Primera B Metropolitana
Primera B Metropolitana is the third tier of Argentina football with 22 teams. The 2026 season has produced 1.96 goals per game over 374 matches: both teams scored in 40%, 30% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 36% with 34% drawn. Excursionistas lead the table on 65 points from 34 games.
How the model handles Primera B Metropolitana
Every Primera B Metropolitana fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 14 Primera B Metropolitana tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 75.5% on average and landing 85.7%. Its best-calibrated Primera B Metropolitana market so far is home or draw (82.5% claimed against 88.9% hit over 9 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Primera B Metropolitana predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Primera B Metropolitana table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Primera B Metropolitana market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Primera B Metropolitana tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 82.5% claimed against 88.9% hit over 9 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Primera B Metropolitana fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Primera B Metropolitana by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.