How are these Primera B Metropolitana predictions made?

Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.

Where does the Primera B Metropolitana table come from?

It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.

How far ahead are Primera B Metropolitana fixtures predicted?

Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public.

Primera B Metropolitana predictions

Argentina · third tier · 22 teams · table updated 24 Oct

Calibrated probabilities for every Primera B Metropolitana match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Primera B Metropolitana in the Bet Finder.

This week's Primera B Metropolitana fixtures

Primera B Metropolitana table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	41	24	9	8	68	31	+37	81
2	Arsenal Sarandi	41	21	13	7	55	27	+28	76
3	Sportivo Italiano	41	19	12	10	47	33	+14	69
4	Talleres Remedios	40	19	11	10	42	26	+16	68
5	Villa Dalmine	41	18	14	9	40	27	+13	68
6	Deportivo Camioneros	41	18	13	10	48	34	+14	67
7	Deportivo Armenio	41	17	11	13	42	39	+3	62
8	Real Pilar	40	17	11	12	42	39	+3	62
9	Deportivo Laferrere	41	15	13	13	50	52	-2	58
10	Comunicaciones	41	14	15	12	39	35	+4	57
11	San Martín Burzaco	41	12	15	14	41	46	-5	51
12	Villa San Carlos	40	12	14	14	40	43	-3	50
13	Flandria	41	13	9	19	39	49	-10	48
14	Deportivo Merlo	41	11	15	15	39	54	-15	48
15	Dock Sud	40	11	14	15	41	45	-4	47
16	Argentino de Merlo	41	12	11	18	37	44	-7	47
17	Argentino Quilmes	41	10	17	14	33	40	-7	47
18	Liniers	40	10	15	15	33	41	-8	45
19	Brown DE Adrogue	40	9	16	15	25	37	-12	43
20	Defensores Unidos	40	9	15	16	33	40	-7	42
21	UAI Urquiza	40	6	21	13	23	36	-13	39
22	Ituzaingó	41	1	14	26	28	67	-39	17

Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)

Official Primera B Metropolitana table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-24.

This season in numbers

1.98

goals per game (448 matches)

41%

both teams scored

32%

over 2.5 goals

61%

over 1.5 goals

14%

over 3.5 goals

38%

home wins

33%

draws

29%

away wins

The model's Primera B Metropolitana record

Market	Tips	Claimed	Hit	Gap
Home win≥ 57%	4	60.7%	50.0%	-10.7
Home or draw≥ 80%	17	82.2%	88.2%	+6.0
Away win≥ 50%	1	56.0%	100.0%	+44.0
Away or draw≥ 73%	1	78.5%	100.0%	+21.5
Over 2.5≥ 57%	1	57.7%	0.0%	-57.7
BTTS≥ 63%	0	—	—	—

Settled Primera B Metropolitana matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.

Recent Primera B Metropolitana results

About Primera B Metropolitana

Primera B Metropolitana is the third tier of Argentina football with 22 teams. The 2026 season has produced 1.98 goals per game over 448 matches: both teams scored in 41%, 32% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 38% with 33% drawn. Excursionistas lead the table on 81 points from 41 games.

How the model handles Primera B Metropolitana

Every Primera B Metropolitana fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 24 Primera B Metropolitana tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 76.4% on average and landing 79.1%. Its best-calibrated Primera B Metropolitana market so far is home or draw (82.2% claimed against 88.2% hit over 17 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.

Frequently asked questions

How are these Primera B Metropolitana predictions made?: Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
Where does the Primera B Metropolitana table come from?: It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
Which Primera B Metropolitana market is the model most reliable in?: On settled Primera B Metropolitana tips since 27 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 82.2% claimed against 88.2% hit over 17 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
How far ahead are Primera B Metropolitana fixtures predicted?: Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Primera B Metropolitana by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.