Liga Profesional Argentina predictions
Argentina · top flight · table updated 9 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Liga Profesional Argentina match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Liga Profesional Argentina in the Bet Finder.
This week's Liga Profesional Argentina fixtures
- 11 Sept · 21:00Newells Old BoysvVelez SarsfieldNo pick yet
- 11 Sept · 23:15Defensa Y JusticiavGimnasia M.No pick yet
- 12 Sept · 1:30Boca JuniorsvCentral Cordoba de SantiagoHome or DrawModerate
- 12 Sept · 18:45Estudiantes L.P.vPlatenseHome or DrawModerate
- 12 Sept · 18:45Independ. RivadaviavAldosiviHome or DrawModerate
- 12 Sept · 21:30Atletico TucumanvRiver PlateNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 0:00Talleres CordobavUnion Santa FeNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 18:45Sarmiento JuninvBelgrano CordobaNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 18:45TigrevRosario CentralNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 21:00Argentinos JRSvGimnasia L.P.No pick yet
- 13 Sept · 23:15IndependientevSan LorenzoNo pick yet
- 14 Sept · 1:30HuracanvRacing ClubNo pick yet
- 14 Sept · 23:00BanfieldvBarracas CentralNo pick yet
- 14 Sept · 23:00Deportivo RiestravLanusNo pick yet
- 15 Sept · 1:15Instituto CordobavEstudiantes de Rio CuartoNo pick yet
Liga Profesional Argentina table
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 31 | |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | +13 | 30 | |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | +6 | 28 | |
| 4 |  Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 26 | |
| 5 |  Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 20 | +4 | 24 | |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 24 | |
| 7 |  San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 22 | |
| 8 |  Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 20 | +4 | 21 | |
| 9 |  Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 | |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 | |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 19 | |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 | |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 16 | |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 | |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 |
Apertura - Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | +14 | 34 | |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | +10 | 29 | |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 29 | |
| 4 |  Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | +4 | 28 | |
| 5 |  Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 26 | |
| 6 |  Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 26 | |
| 7 |  Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 22 | |
| 8 |  Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 21 | |
| 9 |  Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 21 | |
| 10 |  Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 20 | |
| 11 |  Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 19 | |
| 12 |  Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 | |
| 13 |  Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 | |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia M. | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 16 | |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 16 | |
| 3 | Instituto Cordoba | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 16 | |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 14 | |
| 5 | Union Santa Fe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 13 | |
| 6 | Independiente | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 13 | |
| 7 | Newells Old Boys | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 12 | |
| 8 | Boca Juniors | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 | |
| 9 | Lanus | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 | |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 10 | |
| 11 | Deportivo Riestra | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 9 | |
| 12 | Platense | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 9 | |
| 13 | Estudiantes L.P. | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 7 | |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 5 |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos JRS | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 17 | |
| 2 | Sarmiento Junin | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 15 | |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 | |
| 4 | Atletico Tucuman | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 13 | |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 12 | |
| 6 | Tigre | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 12 | |
| 7 | Rosario Central | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 12 | |
| 8 | Independ. Rivadavia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 | |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 11 | |
| 10 | River Plate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 10 | |
| 11 | Huracan | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 10 | |
| 12 | Banfield | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 7 | |
| 13 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 6 | |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 | |
| 15 | Racing Club | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 5 |
- Knockout Phase
Official Liga Profesional Argentina table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-09.
This season in numbers
The model's Liga Profesional Argentina record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 5 | 59.4% | 20.0% | -39.4 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 14 | 82.3% | 64.3% | -18.0 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 1 | 51.6% | 100.0% | +48.4 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 1 | 78.0% | 100.0% | +22.0 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 0 | — | — | — |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Liga Profesional Argentina matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Liga Profesional Argentina results
- 8 Sept · 1:15Union Santa Fe3-2Instituto CordobaNo pick
- 7 Sept · 23:00Barracas Central0-0Argentinos JRSDraw✓
- 7 Sept · 1:30Racing Club1-2Atletico TucumanHome or Draw✗
- 6 Sept · 23:15River Plate3-1Independ. RivadaviaNo pick
- 6 Sept · 21:00Lanus1-0Defensa Y JusticiaNo pick
- 6 Sept · 21:00Central Cordoba de Santiago0-1IndependienteDraw✗
- 6 Sept · 18:45Rosario Central1-1Newells Old BoysNo pick
- 6 Sept · 1:15Velez Sarsfield1-0Estudiantes L.P.No pick
- 5 Sept · 23:00San Lorenzo1-0Talleres CordobaNo pick
- 5 Sept · 20:30Gimnasia M.2-2Boca JuniorsNo pick
About Liga Profesional Argentina
Liga Profesional Argentina is the top flight of Argentina football played across 4 groups. The 2026 season has produced 2.08 goals per game over 375 matches: both teams scored in 45%, 36% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 43% with 29% drawn. The table is published as Apertura - Group A, Apertura - Group B, Clausura - Group A, Clausura - Group B.
How the model handles Liga Profesional Argentina
Every Liga Profesional Argentina fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 21 Liga Profesional Argentina tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 75.2% on average and landing 57.2%. Its best-calibrated Liga Profesional Argentina market so far is home or draw (82.3% claimed against 64.3% hit over 14 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Liga Profesional Argentina predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Liga Profesional Argentina table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Liga Profesional Argentina market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Liga Profesional Argentina tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 82.3% claimed against 64.3% hit over 14 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Liga Profesional Argentina fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Liga Profesional Argentina by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.