Liga Profesional Argentina predictions
Argentina · top flight · table updated 25 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Liga Profesional Argentina match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Liga Profesional Argentina in the Bet Finder.
This week's Liga Profesional Argentina fixtures
- 25 Oct · 20:00IndependientevBoca JuniorsNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 22:15River PlatevRacing ClubHome WinModerate
- 26 Oct · 0:30Barracas CentralvEstudiantes de Rio CuartoNo pick yet
- 26 Oct · 0:30Central Cordoba de SantiagovVelez SarsfieldDrawModerate
- 26 Oct · 22:00Union Santa FevEstudiantes L.P.No pick yet
- 27 Oct · 0:15Instituto CordobavDeportivo RiestraHome or DrawModerate
- 27 Oct · 22:00Argentinos JRSvIndepend. RivadaviaNo pick yet
- 30 Oct · 22:00Estudiantes de Rio CuartovGimnasia L.P.No pick yet
- 30 Oct · 22:00HuracanvTigreNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 0:15Racing ClubvAldosiviNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 0:15Sarmiento JuninvRosario CentralNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 17:45Defensa Y JusticiavIndependienteNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 20:00Deportivo RiestravTalleres CordobaNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 22:15Velez SarsfieldvSan LorenzoNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 0:30Estudiantes L.P.vInstituto CordobaNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 18:00Boca JuniorsvRiver PlateNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 21:30Belgrano CordobavBarracas CentralNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 21:30Newells Old BoysvUnion Santa FeNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 23:45LanusvGimnasia M.No pick yet
Liga Profesional Argentina table
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 31 | |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | +13 | 30 | |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | +6 | 28 | |
| 4 |  Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 26 | |
| 5 |  Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 20 | +4 | 24 | |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 24 | |
| 7 |  San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 22 | |
| 8 |  Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 20 | +4 | 21 | |
| 9 |  Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 | |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 | |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 19 | |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 | |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 16 | |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 | |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 |
Apertura - Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | +14 | 34 | |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | +10 | 29 | |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 29 | |
| 4 |  Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | +4 | 28 | |
| 5 |  Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 26 | |
| 6 |  Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 26 | |
| 7 |  Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 22 | |
| 8 |  Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 21 | |
| 9 |  Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 21 | |
| 10 |  Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 20 | |
| 11 |  Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 19 | |
| 12 |  Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 | |
| 13 |  Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 | |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10 | +10 | 29 | |
| 2 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 13 | +7 | 27 | |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 14 | +7 | 24 | |
| 4 | Lanus | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 24 | |
| 5 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 13 | +5 | 24 | |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 21 | |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 20 | |
| 8 | Independiente | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 19 | |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 18 | |
| 10 | Estudiantes L.P. | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 14 | |
| 11 | Union Santa Fe | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 | |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 | |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 12 | |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 | |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | +11 | 28 | |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 25 | |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | +3 | 25 | |
| 4 | Belgrano Cordoba | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 22 | |
| 5 | Sarmiento Junin | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 21 | +1 | 21 | |
| 6 | River Plate | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 13 | +5 | 20 | |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 19 | |
| 8 | Huracan | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 19 | |
| 9 | Independ. Rivadavia | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 | |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 | |
| 11 | Banfield | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 | |
| 12 | Tigre | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 | |
| 13 | Racing Club | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 | |
| 14 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 | |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 8 |
- Knockout Phase
Official Liga Profesional Argentina table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-25.
This season in numbers
The model's Liga Profesional Argentina record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 12 | 60.3% | 66.7% | +6.4 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 27 | 82.4% | 77.8% | -4.6 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 1 | 51.6% | 100.0% | +48.4 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 1 | 78.0% | 100.0% | +22.0 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 0 | — | — | — |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Liga Profesional Argentina matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Liga Profesional Argentina results
- 25 Oct · 17:45Aldosivi1-0Belgrano CordobaNo pick
- 25 Oct · 1:30Rosario Central2-0HuracanNo pick
- 24 Oct · 23:15San Lorenzo0-0Newells Old BoysNo pick
- 24 Oct · 21:00Talleres Cordoba1-2Defensa Y JusticiaNo pick
- 24 Oct · 18:45Banfield1-1LanusDraw✓
- 24 Oct · 1:15Tigre0-1Atletico TucumanNo pick
- 23 Oct · 22:30Gimnasia M.1-2PlatenseNo pick
- 23 Oct · 22:00Gimnasia L.P.2-0Sarmiento JuninHome or Draw✓
- 20 Oct · 1:15Deportivo Riestra1-1Union Santa FeHome or Draw✓
- 19 Oct · 23:00Sarmiento Junin1-1Barracas CentralDraw✓
About Liga Profesional Argentina
Liga Profesional Argentina is the top flight of Argentina football played across 4 groups. The 2026 season has produced 2.15 goals per game over 458 matches: both teams scored in 47%, 38% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 42% with 30% drawn. The table is published as Apertura - Group A, Apertura - Group B, Clausura - Group A, Clausura - Group B.
How the model handles Liga Profesional Argentina
Every Liga Profesional Argentina fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 41 Liga Profesional Argentina tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 75.1% on average and landing 75.6%. Its best-calibrated Liga Profesional Argentina market so far is home or draw (82.4% claimed against 77.8% hit over 27 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Liga Profesional Argentina predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Liga Profesional Argentina table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Liga Profesional Argentina market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Liga Profesional Argentina tips since 27 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 82.4% claimed against 77.8% hit over 27 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Liga Profesional Argentina fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Liga Profesional Argentina by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.