Leeds vs Norwich predictions — FA Cup, 8 Mar

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Leeds have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 home games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.4 per game. Norwich have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 away games, scoring 2.4 and conceding 0.4 per game.