Port Vale vs Sunderland predictions — FA Cup, 8 Mar

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Port Vale have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.6 per game. Sunderland have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.4 per game.