Samgurali vs Spaeri predictions — Erovnuli Liga, 17 May

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Samgurali have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.0 per game. Spaeri have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.4 per game.