Spaeri vs Samgurali predictions — Erovnuli Liga, 16 Mar

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Spaeri have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6 per game. Samgurali have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.6 per game.