Liverpool vs Barnsley predictions — FA Cup, 12 Jan

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Liverpool have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 per game. Barnsley have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 2.4 per game.