Burnley vs Millwall predictions — FA Cup, 10 Jan

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Burnley have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.8 per game. Millwall have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.2 per game.