Penarol vs Progreso predictions — Primera División - Clausura, 2 Aug

Model's headline prediction

Penarol are unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 at home. Progreso have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.2 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 5 Penarol wins, 0 Progreso wins and 1 draw, averaging 2.8 goals.