Progreso vs Penarol predictions — Primera División - Apertura, 1 Feb

Model's headline prediction

Penarol rated above the home side on form and Elo. Progreso have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.4 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 0 Progreso wins, 5 Penarol wins and 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals.