Atletico Madrid vs Girona predictions — La Liga, 17 May

Model's headline prediction

Atletico Madrid favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Girona have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 5 Atletico Madrid wins, 1 Girona win and 0 draws, averaging 3.7 goals.