Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal predictions — UEFA Champions League, 29 Apr

Model's headline prediction

Arsenal rated above the home side on form and Elo. Atletico Madrid have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.6 per game. The last 4 meetings produced 1 Atletico Madrid win, 1 Arsenal win and 2 draws, averaging 2.3 goals.