Jong Ajax vs Willem II predictions — Eerste Divisie, 2 Feb

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Jong Ajax have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.4 per game. Willem II have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.2 per game.