Willem II vs Jong Ajax predictions — Eerste Divisie, 19 Sept

Model's headline prediction

Willem II favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Jong Ajax have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.4 per game. The last 4 meetings produced 2 Willem II wins, 1 Jong Ajax win and 1 draw, averaging 2.3 goals.