MVV vs Jong Ajax predictions — Eerste Divisie, 2 May

Model's headline prediction

MVV favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Jong Ajax have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 2.0 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 3 MVV wins, 2 Jong Ajax wins and 1 draw, averaging 3.0 goals.