Newcastle vs Liverpool predictions — Premier League, 25 Aug

Model's headline prediction

Newcastle favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Liverpool have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away games, scoring 2.2 and conceding 2.0 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 1 Newcastle win, 4 Liverpool wins and 1 draw, averaging 3.7 goals.