Newcastle vs Chelsea predictions — Premier League, 11 May

Model's headline prediction

Newcastle have won 4 of their last 5 at home, scoring 3.0 per game. Chelsea have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.6 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 2 Newcastle wins, 2 Chelsea wins and 2 draws, averaging 3.2 goals.