Brighton vs Chelsea predictions — FA Cup, 8 Feb

Model's headline prediction

Brighton favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Chelsea have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.4 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 1 Brighton win, 5 Chelsea wins and 0 draws, averaging 4.2 goals.