Monza vs Atalanta predictions — Serie A, 4 May

Model's headline prediction

Atalanta rated above the home side on form and Elo. Monza have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 home games, scoring 0.4 and conceding 1.4 per game. The last 5 meetings produced 0 Monza wins, 5 Atalanta wins and 0 draws, averaging 3.4 goals.