Monza vs Fiorentina predictions — Serie A, 13 Jan

Model's headline prediction

Fiorentina rated above the home side on form and Elo. Monza have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 home games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.6 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 1 Monza win, 3 Fiorentina wins and 2 draws, averaging 3.2 goals.