Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam predictions — Eredivisie, 27 Apr

Model's headline prediction

Ajax favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Sparta Rotterdam have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 5 Ajax wins, 0 Sparta Rotterdam wins and 1 draw, averaging 2.8 goals.